SiriusPoint Ltd. (SPNT)
NYSEFinancialsInsurance - ReinsuranceSnapshot 2026-09-04
NYSEFinancialsInsurance - ReinsuranceSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SPNT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance recently climbed back into the top half of its industry — confirming the recovery.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -2.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 1.7% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 3.7 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 3 industry peers
SPNT — CEO transition
Dated 2026-03-23
President & Chief Executive Officer — Rob Gibbs: Mr. Rob Gibbs departed from his role as President & Chief Executive Officer with a severance agreement.
Why it matters: Changes in share buyback plans show how much management trusts their spending choices. This impacts how investors feel.
Watch forManagement plans to increase share buybacks to more than $295 million in 2026.
Also watch forManagement plans to cut share buybacks to less than $295 million in 2026.
Why it matters: A drop in revenue growth could signal a slowdown in the company's performance.
Worry ifRevenue growth falls below the median of 12% year over year.
Less concerning ifRevenue growth stays at or above the median of 12% year over year.
Why it matters: New board members can influence company strategy and governance. This could impact future performance.
Watch forThere will be more board appointments or changes after May 20.
Also watch forNo further changes to the board after May 20.
Why it matters: Growth in this segment shows strong demand. It also shows good strategy execution.
Supportive ifInsurance & Services gross written premium growth is above 15%.
Worry ifInsurance & Services gross written premium growth is below 8%.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$102 on $10,000 · ±1.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $260 loss on $10,000 · 2.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,474 loss on $10,000 · 14.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Growth in gross written premiums signals strong demand for the company's insurance products.
Supportive ifGross written premiums for Q2 2026 increase by more than 8% year over year.
Worry ifGross written premiums for Q2 2026 decrease or grow less than 8% year over year.
Why it matters: Growth in book value per share reflects the company's financial strength and shareholder value.
Supportive ifBook value per share increases more than 5% from $18.98.
Worry ifBook value per share growth is less than 3%, indicating weaker performance.
Why it matters: A lower combined ratio shows better underwriting performance. This is key for making money over time.
Supportive ifCombined ratio improves to below 88.9% in Q2.
Worry ifCombined ratio goes above 90%. This shows there may be problems with underwriting.
Why it matters: A higher core combined ratio shows lower underwriting quality. This affects how much money is made.
Worry ifCore combined ratio for Q3 exceeds 91.4%.
Less concerning ifCore combined ratio for Q3 improves below 91.4%.
Why it matters: Slower growth in book value per share may show weaker capital management. This can hurt profits.
Worry ifBook value per diluted common share growth falls below 3%.
Less concerning ifBook value per diluted common share grows above 3%.
Why it matters: A drop in operating EPS shows possible problems with profits and growth.
Worry ifOperating earnings per share falls below $0.67.
Less concerning ifOperating earnings per share stays at or above $0.67.
Why it matters: More share repurchases show strong capital management. It also shows confidence in the business.
Supportive ifTotal share repurchases in 2026 are over $100 million.
Worry ifTotal share repurchases in 2026 are under $100 million.