Sempra (SRE)
NYSEUtilitiesDiversified UtilitiesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$82.90-2.88%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEUtilitiesDiversified UtilitiesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · SRE
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance dropped from the top half to the bottom half of its industry over the past month — the reason to own it has weakened.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -6.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 9.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to real (inflation-adjusted) rates and long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 15.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 2 industry peers
SRE — debt issuance
Dated 2026-08-18
Other Events. On August 17, 2026, Southern California Gas Company (the “Company”), an indirect subsidiary of Sempra, entered into an underwriting agreement (the “Underwriting Agreement”) with Barclays Capital Inc., Credit Agricole Securities (USA) Inc., MUFG Securities Americas Inc. and TD Securities (USA) LLC, as the representatives of the several underwriters named on Schedule I thereto (the “Underwriters”), pursuant to which the Company agreed to issue and sell to the Underwriters, several…
Why it matters: Sempra kept its 2026 adjusted EPS range at $4.80 to $5.30. The Nov. 5 report tests that goal.
Watch forOn Nov. 5, Sempra reports adjusted EPS and keeps its 2026 range at $4.80 to $5.30.
Also watch forSempra cuts its 2026 adjusted EPS range below $4.80 or reports results that put the range at risk.
Why it matters: ERCOT endorsed projects needing over $7 billion of new investment. Oncor expects to build most of them, pending approval.
Supportive ifRegulators approve one or more of the endorsed projects, with Oncor named to build them.
Worry ifRegulators reject or delay the projects, or Oncor is not named to build most of them.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$78 on $10,000 · ±0.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $239 loss on $10,000 · 2.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,292 loss on $10,000 · 22.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.