TE Connectivity (TEL)
NYSEInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$220.22+0.20%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · TEL
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 7.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 12.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 5.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 40 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
TEL — General Counsel transition
Dated 2026-11-02
General Counsel — John S. Jenkins, Jr.: The filing announces the planned retirement of the General Counsel with a named successor and a transition period, indicating an orderly succession rather than a sudden loss of leadership.
Why it matters: The sector is still growing, but its pace is easing. A drop below its past median would add pressure to TE's growth setting.
Worry ifXLK revenue growth falls below its historical median.
Less concerning ifXLK revenue growth stays at or above its historical median.
Why it matters: The $1.4 billion deal adds power products to Industrial. Closing would move TE's expansion plan forward.
Supportive ifTE reports that the Astrodyne TDI purchase closed by Dec. 31, 2026.
Worry ifTE reports the deal is delayed beyond Dec. 31, 2026, or will not close.
Why it matters: TE said full-year organic growth would be similar to FY26's 12%. A lower rate would signal slower growth.
Supportive ifFY27 organic sales growth is 12% or higher.
Worry ifFY27 organic sales growth is below 12%.
Why it matters: TE guided to 15% sales growth in Q1. A higher result would extend its strong sales trend.
Supportive ifQ1 FY27 sales exceed $5.35 billion and organic sales growth exceeds 15% year over year.
Worry ifQ1 FY27 sales fall below $5.35 billion or organic sales growth falls below 15% year over year.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$107 on $10,000 · ±1.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $401 loss on $10,000 · 4.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,113 loss on $10,000 · 21.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.