Tecogen Inc (TGEN)
AMEXIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$3.13+2.62%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
AMEXIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · TGEN
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 5.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 93.9% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 88.1 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 32 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
TGEN — private placement
Dated 2026-08-31
Other Events. On August 31, 2026, Tecogen Inc. a Delaware corporation (the “Company”), and contemporaneously with the filing of this Current Report of Form 8-K, filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) a Registration Statement on Form S-3 (“Registration Statement”) under the Securities Act of 1933 (as amended, “Securities Act”). The Registration Statement covers the reoffer and resale by the selling stockholders listed therein, as set forth in the Registration Statement, of a…
Why it matters: Securing these orders shows growth momentum. It is key for future revenue.
Supportive ifManagement says they secured over $8M in new orders for the next quarter.
Worry ifNew orders fall short of $8M, indicating weaker demand.
Why it matters: The earnings call will provide insights into financial performance and future guidance. This can affect investor sentiment.
Watch forEarnings report shows revenue growth and improved margins.
Also watch forEarnings report shows declining revenue and margins.
Why it matters: A confirmed order from Vertiv would show demand for Tecogen's chiller system. It would also strengthen partnerships.
Supportive ifAn official press release confirming the purchase order for the 1 MW chiller system from Vertiv.
Worry ifNo confirmation of the purchase order from Vertiv by the end of Q2 2026.
Why it matters: If sector revenue growth picks up, it could benefit Tecogen's performance. This is key for the overall industry.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth speeds up to over 5% each year.
Worry ifSector revenue growth keeps slowing down to under 5% each year.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$368 on $10,000 · ±3.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $982 loss on $10,000 · 9.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $8,343 loss on $10,000 · 83.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Securing these orders would show strong demand for Tecogen's products. This could help improve revenue and cash flow.
Supportive ifTecogen has gained over $8 million in new orders.
Worry ifNo new orders are reported, or orders fall short of $8 million.
Why it matters: Positive cash flow shows better financial health. It also means the company runs more efficiently.
Supportive ifCash flow from operations reported positive for Q3.
Worry ifCash flow from operations remains negative in Q3.
Why it matters: Higher product revenue would signal a recovery in sales after a sharp decline in Q2.
Supportive ifQ3 product revenue reported above $1.13 million, which is Q2's level.
Worry ifQ3 product revenue remains below $1.13 million.
Why it matters: Getting these orders would support management's plan for growth in the data center market.
Supportive ifThey announced new orders worth over $8 million.
Worry ifNo new orders announced in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Better margins show improved cost control and more profit from products.
Supportive ifGross profit margin reported above 37.8% in Q3.
Worry ifGross profit margin falls below 37.8% in Q3.
Why it matters: Lower cash burn shows better efficiency and stronger financial health.
Supportive ifCash burn reported below $3 million in Q3.
Worry ifCash burn exceeds $3 million in Q3.