Tecogen Inc (TGEN)
AMEXIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$1.71-9.04%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
AMEXIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · TGEN
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -28.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -6.3% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 22.2 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 14 industry peers
TGEN — private placement
Dated 2026-08-31
Other Events. On August 31, 2026, Tecogen Inc. a Delaware corporation (the “Company”), and contemporaneously with the filing of this Current Report of Form 8-K, filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) a Registration Statement on Form S-3 (“Registration Statement”) under the Securities Act of 1933 (as amended, “Securities Act”). The Registration Statement covers the reoffer and resale by the selling stockholders listed therein, as set forth in the Registration Statement, of a…
Why it matters: Service revenue rose 10.3% in Q2, helping offset weak product sales. A similar rise would show that service contracts keep adding revenue.
Supportive ifQ3 service revenue is up more than 10% year over year.
Worry ifQ3 service revenue is flat or down year over year.
Why it matters: Cash fell from $9.33 million at Q1 end to $6.78 million at Q2 end. Less cash use would support Tecogen's plan to cut costs and collect deposits.
Supportive ifThe November 11 report shows Q3 operating cash use below $3.11 million, the Q1 cash use.
Worry ifQ3 operating cash use is $3.11 million or more, or cash falls below $6 million.
Why it matters: Q2 gross margin rose to 37.8% from 33.8% a year earlier, but stayed below Q1's 40.9%. A higher mark would show gains are holding.
Supportive ifQ3 gross margin is above 37.8%.
Worry ifQ3 gross margin is 37.8% or lower.
Why it matters: Tecogen lost $2.15 million in Q2, and adjusted EBITDA loss widened year over year. The next report can show if cost cuts are slowing those losses.
Worry ifThe November 11 report shows a smaller net loss and adjusted EBITDA loss than Q2's $2.15 million and $1.68 million.
Less concerning ifThe November 11 report shows a net loss of $2.15 million or more, or an adjusted EBITDA loss of $1.68 million or more.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$346 on $10,000 · ±3.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $992 loss on $10,000 · 9.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $8,171 loss on $10,000 · 81.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Tecogen held 12 demos with data centers that serve 15% to 20% of U.S. capacity. A named order would show that the sales pipeline is converting.
Supportive ifTecogen announces a signed data center order linked to the demos. It names the buyer or order value.
Worry ifBy the November 11 earnings call, Tecogen reports no new data center order. It names no buyer from the demos.
Why it matters: Q2 product revenue fell 64% year over year to $1.13 million. A rise would show that orders are turning into sales.
Supportive ifOn the November 11 earnings call, Q3 product revenue is above $1.13 million.
Worry ifQ3 product revenue is $1.13 million or less, or the company reports no new data center orders.