Alpha Teknova, Inc. (TKNO)
NASDAQHealth CareDrug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSnapshot 2026-11-05
$7.88+6.92%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQHealth CareDrug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · TKNO
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 16.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 17.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 1.2 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 11 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
TKNO — earnings in line
Dated 2026-11-04
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On November 4, 2026, Alpha Teknova, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2026 (the “Press Release”). A copy of the Press Release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference. The information in this Item 2.02, including the Press Release, is intended to be furnished under
Why it matters: First-half free cash outflow was $4.176 million. The full-year limit leaves less room for cash use in the second half.
Supportive ifTeknova reports 2026 free cash outflow below $8 million.
Worry ifTeknova reports 2026 free cash outflow of $8 million or more.
Why it matters: Teknova launched Build-Tek in Q2, but shared no figures on customer use or orders. Adoption would show whether the tool helps win business.
Supportive ifA company update gives a count of Build-Tek users or orders and reports growth in both over time.
Worry ifA company update reports flat or falling Build-Tek use or orders.
Why it matters: Teknova estimated Q3 revenue at $12.5 million to $12.7 million. The report will test whether growth stayed on track.
Supportive ifThe November 4 report shows Q3 revenue of at least $12.5 million.
Worry ifThe report shows Q3 revenue below $12.5 million.
Why it matters: Q2 gross margin was 40.1%. A lower Q3 result would test how well Teknova can keep margins up as sales grow.
Watch forThe November 4 report shows Q3 gross margin of at least 36.0% and no more than 38.0%.
Also watch forThe report shows Q3 gross margin below 36.0%.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$261 on $10,000 · ±2.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $628 loss on $10,000 · 6.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,980 loss on $10,000 · 59.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Teknova raised its 2026 revenue goal after strong first-half growth. Meeting the range would support its growth plan.
Supportive ifThe final 2026 report shows revenue of at least $45 million.
Worry ifTeknova cuts its $45 million floor, or final 2026 revenue is below $45 million.