Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - ManufacturersSnapshot 2026-09-04
$354.08-5.92%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - ManufacturersSnapshot 2026-09-04
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Put TSLA beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Discretionary is in expansion. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisRevenue growth is accelerating — up about 12% over the past year.
View GrowthRanks in the weakest quality tier of its industry — roughly the bottom 44%, softest on free-cash-flow yield.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, margins.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 39% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskTesla's growth relies on ramping up Cybercab and Tesla Semi production. Recent results show mixed performance, with a 38.51% EPS miss. Tesla trades at 12× price-to-sales, above the 0.8× peer median. This suggests the price reflects less growth than expected. The primary risk is the unverified production target for Cybercab. The thesis is on watch due to pressure on this pillar.
Trailing returns as of 2026-09-04. TSLA is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 46 analysts currently covering TSLA (as of Sep 2026).
Based on 12 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for TSLA in the last 4 months.
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Compare TSLA with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
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| TSLA Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across our valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No fair value published
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
This applies to all three horizons. The trailing multiples, peer comparison, and quality and trajectory reads on this page are unaffected. Names move in and out of this state day to day as the methods converge or diverge. Method agreement on this name is low.
Top 25% on quality vs scored peers
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Automobile Manufacturers — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put TSLA next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Threatens: Grow energy storage deployments and ramp Megapack 3 production
Mixed sales indicate potential challenges in energy storage growth.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-09-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $354.08
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $354.08.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Threatens: Ramp volume production of Cybercab and Tesla Semi in 2026
Concerns over Cybercab production may hinder volume ramp.
Advances: Expand Robotaxi service and FSD (Supervised) adoption
Musk's actions could accelerate Robotaxi service expansion.
Advances: Expand Robotaxi service and FSD (Supervised) adoption
Launch of Cybercab supports Robotaxi service expansion.
Threatens: Ramp volume production of Cybercab and Tesla Semi in 2026
Stock slip indicates concerns over Cybercab production outlook.
Threatens: Ramp volume production of Cybercab and Tesla Semi in 2026
Concerns about valuation may hinder Cybercab production ramp.
Advances: Expand Robotaxi service and FSD (Supervised) adoption
Approval supports expansion of Robotaxi service and FSD adoption.
Threatens: Expand Robotaxi service and FSD (Supervised) adoption
Settlements may indicate ongoing legal risks affecting FSD adoption.
