Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - ManufacturersSnapshot 2026-11-04
$385.19-3.34%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - ManufacturersSnapshot 2026-11-04
Research Workspace
Put TSLA beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Discretionary is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Management is running behind on a stated commitment.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 8% over the past year.
View GrowthRanks in the weakest quality tier of its industry — roughly the bottom 39%, softest on free-cash-flow yield.
View QualityMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 39% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskTesla's robotaxi and AI growth must keep compounding to justify the price. The company expects robotaxi to be a major revenue driver in 2027. It trades at 14 times sales versus a 1 times peer median. The price reflects less growth than we forecast. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 22%. Peer multiples imply a price about 10% above where it trades. Our read remains intact. This read is provisional.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-11-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Trailing returns as of 2026-11-04. TSLA is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 44 analysts currently covering TSLA (as of Nov 2026).
Based on 17 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for TSLA in the last 4 months.
Current $385.19
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $385.19.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
Continue this research
Compare TSLA with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
Compare now without an account. Saving and monitoring require an account.
| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSLA Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across our valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-11-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No fair value published
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
This applies to all three horizons. The trailing multiples, peer comparison, and quality and trajectory reads on this page are unaffected. Names move in and out of this state day to day as the methods converge or diverge. Method agreement on this name is low.
Top 10% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Automobile Manufacturers — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Our valuation methods disagree too much on this name right now. Rather than print a number we don't believe, we're holding it back until they converge.
Compare the value case
Put TSLA next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Political scrutiny poses execution and regulatory risk to operations.
Citi accumulation signals institutional confidence in EV sector.
Threatens: Scale AI compute and autonomy software
Texas political shift threatens AI autonomy regulatory environment.
Advances: Maintain factory utilization and manage production costs
European registrations explode due to fuel prices, boosting demand.
Advances: Ramp Cybercab, Tesla Semi and Optimus production
Optimus production target confirms ramp-up progress and supply chain.
Advances: Ramp Cybercab, Tesla Semi and Optimus production
Confirms Optimus production ramp targets and supply chain.
Threatens: Maintain factory utilization and manage production costs
Record revenue overshadowed by margin pressure indicates cost issues.
Analyst warns Democratic win creates hurdles for AI build-out.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.