Trane Technologies (TT)
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-11-05
$392.43-4.40%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · TT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 11.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 12.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 1.2 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 46 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
TT — President transition
Dated 2026-07-22
Senior Vice President and Chief Global Integrated Supply Chain Officer — Mingxiao (Gary) Guo: Mr. Guo will depart the Company effective August 1, 2026.
Why it matters: Management kept its adjusted EPS guide at $15.20 to $15.30. The final result tests whether earnings growth keeps pace with sales.
Supportive ifFull-year 2026 adjusted continuing EPS is at least $15.20, and GAAP continuing EPS is within $15.00 to $15.10.
Worry ifFull-year adjusted continuing EPS is below $15.20, or GAAP continuing EPS is below $15.00.
Why it matters: Trane raised its 2026 organic revenue growth guide to about 11%. Q4 results will show if that higher bar holds.
Supportive ifFull-year 2026 organic revenue growth is at least 11%, with Q4 results supporting that rate.
Worry ifFull-year 2026 organic revenue growth is below 11%, or management cuts its revenue guide.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$103 on $10,000 · ±1.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $335 loss on $10,000 · 3.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,205 loss on $10,000 · 22.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.