Take-Two Interactive (TTWO)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesElectronic Gaming & MultimediaSnapshot 2026-11-05
$213.36+2.13%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesElectronic Gaming & MultimediaSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · TTWO
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 40.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 21.2% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 19.2 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 1 industry peers
TTWO — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-07
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On August 7, 2026 , Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing the financial results of the Company for its first fiscal quarter ended June 30, 2026. A copy of the press release is attached to this Current Report as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated by reference herein. The information included in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1 hereto, that is furnished pursuant to this
Why it matters: Take-Two guided to $1.62–$1.67 billion in Q2 Net Bookings. Results below that range could weaken confidence in its full-year plan.
Watch forFiscal Q2 Net Bookings are at least $1.62 billion, matching or beating the stated range.
Also watch forFiscal Q2 Net Bookings are below $1.62 billion.
Why it matters: Take-Two guided to a GAAP net loss of $140–$157 million for Q2. Results can test whether costs stay near the plan.
Watch forFiscal Q2 GAAP net loss is smaller than $140 million, and the fiscal 2027 profit outlook is kept or raised.
Also watch forFiscal Q2 GAAP net loss exceeds $157 million, or Take-Two cuts its fiscal 2027 net income outlook below $104 million.
Why it matters: Management ties its $8.0–$8.2 billion fiscal 2027 bookings outlook to this launch. A delay would put that target at risk.
Watch forGTA VI launches for PS5 and Xbox Series X|S on November 19, 2026, with no delay notice.
Also watch forTake-Two announces a delay beyond November 19, 2026, or does not release the game on that date.
Why it matters: The target depends on timely game releases and strong results across the portfolio. The next report can show whether bookings track that plan.
Watch forAt the next earnings report, Take-Two keeps its fiscal 2027 Net Bookings outlook at $8.0–$8.2 billion or raises it.
Also watch forTake-Two cuts fiscal 2027 Net Bookings guidance below $8.0 billion.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$128 on $10,000 · ±1.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $318 loss on $10,000 · 3.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,645 loss on $10,000 · 26.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.