Reading UBSI? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track UBSI free→Reading UBSI? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track UBSI free→NASDAQFinancialsBanks - RegionalSnapshot 2026-06-12
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is neutral. Earnings quality is also neutral. Management's recent track record has been steady. Risk is low, but the sector backdrop is a headwind. Peer multiples imply a price about 4% below where it trades (it looks expensive on this basis); the read is fair. This assessment is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $45.65. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $46 UBSI trades at 13× p/e, in line with its 12× p/e peer median. Our $44 fair value reflects that, high confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The market is pricing in roughly 4% near-term growth, below our forecast of about 17%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
Only weak execution quality, a turbulent sector regime (Heating) — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Financials names rated neutral grew net income 52% of the time over the next year (vs 61% for the rest of the cohort, n=4936).
Over the trailing year it converted 1.07x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Financials names rated neutral grew net income 58% of the time over the next year (vs 55% for the rest of the cohort, n=4725).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, Fed net liquidity, long-term interest rates.
Not enough signal yet.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.86 → $0.88 (+2.6% / 30d). 4 raised, 0 cut, 5 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 40% of analysts rate Buy.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$81.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$199.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $1,373.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-12
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: Strong growth in net interest income shows the bank is managing rates well. This can boost overall profitability.
Confirms:Q2 net interest income growth reported above 5% year over year.
Disproves:Net interest income growth falls below 2% year over year.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for UBSI yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On April 23, 2026 United Bankshares, Inc. (“United”) announced its financial results for the first quarter of 2026. A copy of the press release is attached as Exhibit 99.1 to this report. The press release is being furnished under
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
Roughly priced in line with peers.
Around its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Regional Banks.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
UBSI United Bankshares | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 48 of 100 | full | low |
HDB HDFC BANK LTD | — | — | moderate |
IBN ICICI BANK LTD | — | — | moderate |
ITUB ITAU UNIBANCO HOLDING SA | — | — | moderate |
FITB Fifth Third Bancorp | Below typical Show detailsSector percentile: 2 of 100 | expensive | moderate |
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-12.
via XLF
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-12.
Focus on increasing net interest income through strategic initiatives.
Maintain control over provision expenses to ensure financial stability.
Why it matters: A drop below this level may indicate broader economic issues affecting banks. It could impact UBSI's performance.
Confirms:Sector revenue growth reported below 10% year over year.
Disproves:Sector revenue growth remains above 10% year over year.
Why it matters: Higher provision expenses could signal rising credit risks. This may hurt profit margins.
Confirms:Provision expense was over $10 million for Q2.
Disproves:Provision expense was under $5 million for Q2.
Why it matters: High unemployment claims can signal economic weakness, which may affect bank performance. This data is important for assessing risk.
Confirms:Unemployment claims are much higher than usual.
Disproves:Unemployment claims are steady or going down.
Why it matters: A drop below 12% signals a slowdown in the financial sector's growth phase. This could impact investor confidence.
Confirms:Q2 revenue growth reported below 12% year over year.
Disproves:Q2 revenue growth remains at or above 12% year over year.