UDR, Inc. (UDR)
NYSEReal EstateReit - ResidentialSnapshot 2026-09-04
$36.38+0.03%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - ResidentialSnapshot 2026-09-04
Warn: Recent financial performance slipped notably this past month, though still top-half.
UDR grows earnings with EPS expected near $0.96 in 2026. It keeps raising dividends, now about $0.435 per share. The company is buying back up to 25 million shares, boosting shareholder returns. Its stable market and low risk support steady income.
UDR's profit growth may slow below the 2026 EPS guidance of $0.91 to $1.01. Dividend increases could stall if cash flow weakens. The share buyback program might not deliver expected value if market conditions worsen.
The current price is about 34% above our valuation model's midpoint and 21% below the Street median. Analysts expect roughly 1.6% revenue growth, while our model sees slower growth. The market may be too optimistic on earnings and dividend growth.
Breaks if: Dividend per share falls below $0.43 in 2026-Q1
Continue to maintain and slightly increase the dividend per share, reflecting a commitment to shareholder returns.
This is not a price target or investment advice.
A long-form read on the 1–3 year hold thesis. It updates when the weekly evidence changes.
UDR represents a stable investment in the real estate sector, characterized by its focus on consistent dividend growth and operational performance. The current thesis is in a watch state due to recent earnings performance slipping, despite strong fundamentals.
The market appears to price UDR at a premium compared to its peers, indicating expectations for continued strong performance. However, this premium may not be fully justified given the recent dip in financial performance and the overall sector backdrop.
Management has shown a commitment to driving revenue and net operating income (NOI) growth, with recent results exceeding prior guidance. The near-term risk of missing earnings is low, but the company operates in a high-miss-rate industry, which adds some uncertainty.
Key factors for UDR's future include potential guidance increases in the upcoming quarter, changes in Federal Reserve interest rates, and the performance of sector peers. Positive shifts in these areas could enhance the company's outlook.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Our read on the company is unchanged since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-09-04
Review the evidence to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Breaks if: EPS falls below $0.91 in FY26
Breaks if: Buyback program is canceled or significantly reduced
Increase the share repurchase program by 25 million shares, totaling approximately 30 million shares.
Overall, UDR's trajectory appears stable, but it faces challenges from sector headwinds and recent performance trends. Not investment advice.