Marriott Vacations Worldwide (VAC)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryGambling, Resorts & CasinosSnapshot 2026-09-04
$106.62+7.47%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryGambling, Resorts & CasinosSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · VAC
How strong the business is — where it ranks within its sector on capital efficiency and cash generation, and how well management has been executing.
How this business ranks within consumer discretionary on a research-validated quality screen. As of 2026-09-04.
The screen ranks VAC against its sector on four durable signals: share dilution, return on capital, free-cash-flow yield, and FCF margin. Historically the highest-quality names tended toward better typical outcomes and fewer bad years over multi-year holds (strongest at three years, modest at one), and that pattern showed up even before the price moved. It characterizes business quality, not price direction.
Each leg is a sector-relative percentile (higher is better); 3 of 4 legs were available for this name. The composite is built from these four; the raw value follows each percentile for context.
A forward quality tilt, not a price prediction, and context for your own research rather than a recommendation. Not investment advice.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 0 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated neutral grew net income 45% of the time over the next year (vs 59% for the rest of the cohort, n=6943).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Drive continued contract sales growth to reach $2.08-$2.115 billion in full year 2026, reflecting a focus on marketing, sales execution, and operational enhancements.
Stated as a priority in 3 of last 3 quarters. Contract sales grew from $458 million in 2025-Q4 to $545 million in 2026-Q2 (+22% YoY in Q2). The company raised full-year 2026 contract sales guidance from $1.745-$1.815 billion in 2025-Q4 to $2.08-$2.115 billion in 2026-Q2. The trajectory is delivering with strong growth and upward guidance revisions.
“Contract sales increased 22% year over year to $545 million in the quarter; raised full-year contract sales guidance.”
“Contract sales were $411 million in the quarter, a 2% decline compared to prior year; expect Q2 contract sales to increase 4% to 8%.”
“Consolidated contract sales were $458 million in the quarter; full year 2026 guidance contract sales $1,745 to $1,815 million.”
Target adjusted diluted earnings per share in the range of $8.25 to $9.05 for full year 2026, reflecting improved profitability and operational execution.
Stated as a priority in 3 of last 3 quarters. Adjusted diluted EPS grew from $1.96 in 2025-Q2 to $2.31 in 2026-Q2 (+18% YoY in Q2). Full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance was raised from $7.05-$7.80 in 2026-Q1 to $8.25-$9.05 in 2026-Q2. The trajectory shows improvement and raised expectations.
“Adjusted diluted earnings per share increased 18% to $2.31 in the quarter; raised full-year adjusted EPS guidance.”
Achieve adjusted free cash flow in the range of $410 million to $460 million for full year 2026, supporting liquidity and capital allocation priorities.
Stated as a priority in 3 of last 3 quarters. Adjusted free cash flow guidance was maintained at $375-$425 million in 2026-Q1 and raised to $410-$460 million in 2026-Q2. The company is focused on improving cash flow generation, with guidance reflecting this priority.
“The Company raises its full-year Adjusted Free Cash Flow guidance to $410 to $460 million.”
Continue executing the non-core asset disposition strategy to generate $200 to $250 million in gross proceeds by the end of 2027, supporting capital allocation and liquidity.
Stated as a priority in 2 of last 3 quarters. The company sold the Westin Cancun hotel for $50 million in 2025-Q4 and listed additional assets expected to generate over $125 million in 2026-Q1. The target remains $200-$250 million in gross proceeds by end of 2027. The trajectory shows ongoing execution on asset dispositions.
Focus on strengthening marketing and sales execution to drive improved results and enhance profitability across the business.
Stated as a priority in 2 quarters including 2026-Q1 and in the CEO appointment announcement. While management emphasizes strengthening marketing and sales execution and enhancing profitability, financials show mixed results with some improvement in contract sales and adjusted EPS but also margin pressures. The trajectory is mixed with ongoing focus but limited clear quantitative delivery.
Over the trailing year it converted 0.56x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated fragile grew net income 40% of the time over the next year (vs 53% for the rest of the cohort, n=3652).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, Fed net liquidity, long-term interest rates (low R² over the window).
14 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated neutral grew net income 48% of the time over the next year (vs 53% for the rest of the cohort, n=2538).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-09-04.
“Adjusted diluted earnings per share decreased 25% to $1.24 in the quarter; reiterated full-year adjusted EPS guidance of $7.05 to $7.80.”
“Adjusted diluted earnings per share was $1.86 in Q4 2025; full year 2026 guidance adjusted EPS $7.05 to $7.80.”
“The Company reiterates its full-year Adjusted Free Cash Flow guidance of $375 to $425 million.”
“Full year 2026 guidance Adjusted Free Cash Flow $375 to $425 million.”
“Executing on our disposition strategy by listing assets for sale expected to deliver more than $125 million in gross proceeds this year; on track to generate $200 million to $250 million by end of 20…”
“Sold Westin Cancun hotel for $50 million; agreed to acquire 64 timeshare units for $46 million upon completion in 2028.”
“Adding experienced leaders across sales and marketing disciplines driving improved results; taking incremental cost and overhead actions.”