Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesEntertainmentSnapshot 2026-07-07
$26.120.00%
Close 2026-07-07 · 1-day change
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Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 3 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $26.12. As of 2026-07-08. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $26 the market pays 1.7× p/s — above the 1.2× p/s peer median but in line with its own 2× history. That premium reflects a durable franchise our peer-anchored $24 fair value understates; treat the 'expensive vs peers' read with low confidence. Analysts target $31–$31. Note: our $24 fair value sits below the entire analyst range ($31–$31). Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price sits about 7% above a flat-multiple fair value, while analysts forecast about 2% growth — in line with our forecast. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
TTM earnings are negative, so the read leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods rather than P/E. This is a data condition, not a forward call.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peer EV/Sales | 12M | $74.95 | 5.8 | 14.93 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $14.90 | 16.1 | 0.93 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $17.93 | 1.2 | 14.93 | TTM | high |
| Peer EV/Sales | 3Y | $79.03 | 5.8 | 15.64 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/FCF |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
TTM earnings are negative. P/E-based methods drop out and the estimate leans on sales- and cash-flow-based methods. A data condition, not a forward call.
$31.00 – $31.00 (median $31.00) · 3 analysts · as of 2026-06-29
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| 3Y |
| $16.01 |
| 16.1 |
| 1.00 |
| Hist. CAGR(prov.) |
| medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $18.77 | 1.2 | 15.64 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer EV/Sales | 5Y | $81.80 | 5.8 | 16.11 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $16.80 | 16.1 | 1.05 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $19.35 | 1.2 | 16.11 | Analyst | medium |