Woodward, Inc. (WWD)
NASDAQIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-11-04
$326.37-1.90%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · WWD
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 12.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 11.8% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 0.9 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 23 industry peers
WWD — strategy / product update — Costs Associated with Exit or Disposal Activities
Dated 2026-09-21
Costs Associated with Exit or Disposal Activities. On September 15, 2026, the Board of Directors of Woodward, Inc. (the “Company”) approved a plan to transition production out of its Santa Clarita, California, facility to streamline its portfolio and refine its manufacturing footprint. Production of military fixed-wing and rotorcraft flight control actuation will move to the Company's Spartanburg, South Carolina, aerospace manufacturing campus, which is currently under construction. Additiona…
Why it matters: Q3 free cash flow fell 12% from a year earlier, while the full-year range stayed at $300M–$350M. The result tests cash generation as spending rises.
Watch forFY26 free cash flow is at least $300 million.
Also watch forFY26 free cash flow is below $300 million.
Why it matters: Woodward raised its FY26 adjusted EPS range to $9.30–$9.50. A result above the low end would show the strong profit trend continued.
Supportive ifAt the November 23 earnings report, FY26 adjusted EPS is at least $9.30.
Worry ifAt the November 23 earnings report, FY26 adjusted EPS is below $9.30.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$123 on $10,000 · ±1.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $375 loss on $10,000 · 3.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,045 loss on $10,000 · 30.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.