Wynn Resorts (WYNN)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryGambling, Resorts & CasinosSnapshot 2026-09-04
$91.54-0.02%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryGambling, Resorts & CasinosSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · WYNN
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -30.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 3.5% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 33.7 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 15 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
WYNN — dividend update
Dated 2026-08-04
Other Events. On August 4, 2026, the Company announced that its Board of Directors declared a cash dividend of $0.25 per share, payable on August 28, 2026 to stockholders of record as of August 14, 2026.
Why it matters: Higher operational profit helps Wynn's finances. It also builds trust with investors.
Supportive ifOperational profit is clearly better than in Q1 2026.
Worry ifOperational profit stays the same or drops compared to Q1 2026.
Why it matters: The dividend shows how well the company is doing and its promise to give back.
Worry ifManagement keeps the quarterly cash dividend at $0.25 per share.
Less concerning ifThe company says it will cut or stop the quarterly cash dividend.
Why it matters: Q2 earnings will show if Wynn continues its growth trend after a strong Q1.
Supportive ifQ2 earnings report shows operating revenues increase year over year by more than 8%.
Worry ifThe Q2 earnings report shows lower operating revenues than last year.
Why it matters: Macau's gaming revenue trends will impact Wynn's performance and market share.
Supportive ifMacau gaming revenue grows by over 5% for two months in a row.
Worry ifMacau gaming revenue falls by over 5% for two months in a row.
Why it matters: Future dividend choices will show how confident management is in cash flow.
Watch forManagement keeps or raises the quarterly dividend to $0.25 per share.
Also watch forManagement lowers the dividend. This shows possible cash flow problems.
Why it matters: Strong EBITDAR growth in Las Vegas shows good operations and a strong market.
Supportive ifQ2 EBITDAR from Las Vegas operations increases year over year by more than 10%.
Worry ifQ2 EBITDAR from Las Vegas operations is down compared to last year.
Why it matters: Focusing on profit shows how well the company controls its costs.
Supportive ifOperating income goes up by more than 5% from Q1.
Worry ifOperating income goes down or stays the same compared to Q1.
Why it matters: Progress on this project is key for future growth and market confidence.
Supportive ifWynn Al Marjan Island project hits key milestones.
Worry ifWynn Al Marjan Island project faces delays and setbacks.
Why it matters: Growth in Macau is crucial for overall performance. It shows demand recovery in a key market.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue from Wynn Macau increases year over year by more than 5%.
Worry ifQ2 revenue from Wynn Macau declines year over year or stays flat.
Why it matters: Updates on this project are key for growth. The opening is targeted for September 2027.
Supportive ifManagement says construction is on track. Cash contributions are over $1 billion.
Worry ifThere are reports of delays. Cash contributions to the project are lower.
Why it matters: Keeping the dividend shows financial health. It shows commitment to shareholders.
Supportive ifThe Board declares a cash dividend of $0.25 per share again.
Worry ifThe Board decides to cut or suspend the dividend payment.
Why it matters: This metric shows how well the company makes money. It is key for success.
Watch forAdjusted Property EBITDAR growth is more than 5% from last year.
Also watch forAdjusted Property EBITDAR growth is less than 0% compared to last year.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$106 on $10,000 · ±1.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $357 loss on $10,000 · 3.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,177 loss on $10,000 · 31.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.