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WYNN

Wynn Resorts

NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryResorts & CasinosSnapshot 2026-05-08

$102.42-4.15%
Close 2026-05-08 · 1-day change
The bottom line

As of May 8, 2026, WYNN has a mixed analyst signal with a composite score of -8.0. This score is influenced by various factors, including an unfavorable outlook if next-quarter guidance is cut and potential improvements if the consumer discretionary sector trend rises. The confidence level is medium at 75.2, with elevated market risk and a full valuation score of 47.2. The analysis is provisional.

Composite -8.0as of 2026-05-08

Price

Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.

Close 2026-05-08
Daily closes. Scroll over the chart to zoom; click a range to reset.
EarningsMaterial event

Factor signals

Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.

L1

Thesis

is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?
F1 · Recent financial performance
weak
Bottom 30% of consumer discretionary cohort
Why this rank
  • Direction share
    1.00
  • Slope (norm)
    -0.16
  • Bonus
    0.00
Operating income, last 4 quarters ($M)
363265311195
F2 · Value
expensive
Most expensive 20% of consumer discretionary cohort
Why this rank
Price
$102.42
TTM EPS
$2.50
Earnings yield
2.4%
P/E (TTM)
41.0

Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3

F3 · Earnings quality
robust
Top 20% cash conversion in consumer discretionary cohort
Why this rank
TTM NI ($M)
501
TTM CFO ($M)
1,426
CFO/NI
2.85
L2

Watch

has something changed worth re-reading?
F4 · Management stability
neutral
Mid-cohort activity· see deep-dive ↓
neutral
Earnings setup · pre-print positioning
forward-looking
neutral12 analysts, 100% Buyfor period ending 2026-06-30
Why this setup
Consensus revisions

EPS estimate $1.26 → $1.23 (-2.9% / 30d). 3 raised, 5 cut, 12 covering analysts.

Rating actions

0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 3 maintained. 100% of analysts rate Buy.

Price target activity

4 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 29.8% above current price.

Material events

0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.

F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
2

Stated priorities

Insufficient transcript history for this ticker.

3

Guidance track record

Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.

L3

Position context

how violent might the path be while I hold it?
Risk profile · realized
backward-looking
elevatedworst 12m loss −27%, typical day ±1.2%
Why this risk level

Recent vol — 30d annualized 32%; 252d 36%.

Drawdown — Max 1y −27%. Bad day move −3%.

Beta to sector ETF (XLY) 0.06 over 1y.

Liquidity — score 100/100.

Sub-scores — vol 40/100, drawdown 46/100, beta 6/100, earnings vol .

Sector regime
headwind-4.8%sector vs S&P 500, 60d

via XLY

Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.

AI cycle regime · market-wide
2-axis classifier
HeatingManiaSquallCrisisEarnings →Mood ↑
HeatingE +0.13 · M +0.71
Single-axisCHASEz +2.97+1.285d

Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.

Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.

3

What changed

The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.

  1. No material changes since the prior snapshot.

No material changes since the prior snapshot.

as of 2026-05-08

4

Management scorecard

How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.

Composite26.0 / 100
Capital allocation17
Earnings discipline15
Margin discipline29
Balance sheet50
Guidance credibility
Post-call reaction52

Met or beat guidance 100% of the last 1 guided quarters · 37.6% avg surprise

as of 2026-05-08
4

What management is focused on

Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.

No qualifying priorities for this snapshot. Check back after the next refresh.

5

How this stock is priced

Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.

Compared to peers
29higher = cheaper

Looks more expensive than peers.

Compared to its own history
34higher = cheaper

Richer than its own typical valuation.

P/E
25.5x
EV/EBITDA
11.8x
FCF yield
6.3%

P/E over the last 5 years

35 monthly points
fullas of 2026-05-08
7

How this compares

A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.

StockCompositeValuationRisk
WYNN
Wynn Resorts
-8.0fullelevated
AMZN
Amazon
+16fullmoderate
TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
+0.4expensiveelevated
HD
Home Depot (The)
+14fullmoderate
CVNA
Carvana
+14high
8

Risk — how this stock moves

What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.

A typical day
How much price usually moves either way.
1.2%
A bad day (95th %ile)
A rough but not unusual down day.
-3.4%
Worst 12-month loss
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
-27.3%
Earnings-day move
How much price usually moves on earnings day.
elevatedas of 2026-05-08
9

What could change this view

Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.

Upside triggers
  • If consumer_discretionary sector trend rises from +0.10 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
  • If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2025-11-06)+4.0 pts
Downside triggers
  • If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2025-11-06)-8.0 pts
  • If consumer_discretionary sector trend falls from +0.10 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
  • If growth state reverses from +0.25 (positive) to -0.25 (negative)-4.0 pts
10

Material updates

Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.

  1. 2026-05-071d agoItem 2.02

    Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 7, 2026, Wynn Resorts, Limited (the "Company") issued a press release announcing its results of operations for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. The press release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1. The information furnished under Items 2.02 and 7.01 of this report, including Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, nor shall it be deemed inc…

    earnings preannouncementscore 64
  2. 2026-05-071d agoItem 8.01

    Other Events. On May 7, 2026, the Company announced that its Board of Directors declared a cash dividend of $0.25 per share, payable on May 29, 2026 to stockholders of record as of May 18, 2026.

    capital allocationneutralscore 51
  3. 2026-02-122mo agoItem 2.02

    Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On February 12, 2026, Wynn Resorts, Limited (the "Company) issued a press release announcing its results of operations for the fourth quarter and year ended December 31, 2025. The press release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1. The information furnished under Items 2.02 and 7.01 of this report, including Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, no…

    earnings preannouncementnegativescore 11
  4. 2026-02-122mo agoItem 8.01

    Other Events. On February 12, 2026, the Company announced that its Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.25 per share, payable on March 4, 2026 to stockholders of record as of February 23, 2026.

    capital allocationneutralscore 7
  5. 2026-01-093mo agoItem 5.02

    Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On January 7, 2026, Julie Cameron-Doe notified Wynn Resorts, Limited (the “Company”) of her decision to retire from her role as Chief Financial Officer of the Company, effective as of March 31, 2026, and to retire from the Company as an officer of the Company, effective as of June 1, 2026. In connection with her retirement, Ms. Cameron-Doe will be…

    executive changeneutralscore 5
11

Score history

The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.

60 snapshots
Data freshness · As of 2026-05-08 · Macro 2026-05-08 · Sector 2026-05-07 · Fundamentals 2026-03-02 · Price 2026-05-07 · Generated 2026-05-08 · Spec 2.3

Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.