XTI Aerospace Inc (XTIA)
NASDAQIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-11-04
$1.00-6.54%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · XTIA
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -83.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 60.6% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 144.1 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 23 industry peers
XTIA — earnings miss
Dated 2026-10-22
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On October 22, 2026, XTI Aerospace, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing, among other things, certain preliminary unaudited financial results for the quarter ended September 30, 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. The preliminary financial results reflect the Company’s preliminary estimates with respect to such results based on currently available information and are…
Why it matters: Nasdaq sent a notice because XTI had not filed its Q2 report on time. A compliance update will show whether the listing issue is cleared.
Worry ifA Nasdaq notice or company filing confirms XTI met the filing rule and is back in compliance.
Less concerning ifA filing reports a new Nasdaq deadline, a further listing breach, or a delisting action.
Why it matters: Q3 revenue was preliminary, and the full-year outlook is far below the earlier $160 million or greater outlook. Q4 results will test the new range.
Watch forFinal 2026 revenue is at least $125 million and no more than $130 million.
Also watch forFinal 2026 revenue is below $125 million or above $130 million.
Why it matters: XTI reported lower corporate and ADS cash outflow, but cash was $5.1 million at September 30. More cuts may ease pressure on cash.
Supportive ifThe Q3 report confirms corporate and ADS cash outflow at or below $1.1 million per month, with lower cash burn.
Worry ifThe Q3 report shows monthly cash outflow above $1.1 million or cash burn rising from Q3.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$270 on $10,000 · ±2.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $863 loss on $10,000 · 8.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $7,635 loss on $10,000 · 76.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.