YUM
Yum! BrandsNYSEConsumer DiscretionaryRestaurantsSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, YUM has a composite score of 16.4 and a signal label of "mild favorable." This score is influenced by a medium confidence level of 77.4 and reflects strengths in management (63.2) and quality (62.8), while the sector score is lower at 12.3. The analysis is provisional, indicating that the scores may change as new information becomes available.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share1.00
- Slope (norm)0.04
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $1.59 → $1.57 (-0.9% / 30d). 8 raised, 10 cut, 24 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 5 maintained. 41% of analysts rate Buy.
4 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 9.6% above current price.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
5 material events in the last 24 months — top 5 listed below.
Stated priorities
3 priorityies extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.Achieve 5% Unit Growthgrowthbehind30% progress
4/29: “The Company targets 5% Unit Growth as part of its long-term financial performance metrics.”
Why this status
Stated in 4 of last 4 quarters. The company has consistently targeted 5% unit growth as part of its long-term financial performance metrics. However, specific unit growth figures for the recent quarters are not provided, indicating limited substantive delivery evidence this quarter.
- 2.Achieve 7% System Sales Growthgrowthbehind30% progress
4/29: “The Company targets 7% System Sales Growth, excluding F/X.”
Why this status
Stated in 4 of last 4 quarters. Yum! Brands has consistently targeted 7% system sales growth, excluding foreign exchange impacts. However, the financials do not provide specific sales growth figures for recent quarters, indicating limited substantive delivery evidence this quarter.
- 3.Achieve 8% Core Operating Profit Growthgrowthbehind30% progress
4/29: “The Company targets at least 8% Core Operating Profit Growth.”
Why this status
Stated in 4 of last 4 quarters. Yum! Brands has consistently targeted at least 8% core operating profit growth. However, specific operating profit growth figures for recent quarters are not provided, indicating limited substantive delivery evidence this quarter.
Guidance track record
Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 23%; 252d 21%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −10%. Bad day move −2%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLY) — 0.03 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 64/100, drawdown 80/100, beta 3/100, earnings vol —.
via XLY
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- No material changes since the prior snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
Achieve 5% Unit Growth
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04Yum! Brands aims to achieve 5% unit growth as part of its long-term financial performance metrics.
On track →BehindStated in 4 of last 4 quarters. The company has consistently targeted 5% unit growth as part of its long-term financial performance metrics. However, specific unit growth figures for the recent quarters are not provided, indicating limited substantive delivery evidence this quarter.
30%CEO/CFO:“The Company targets 5% Unit Growth as part of its long-term financial performance metrics.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-04-29Stated 4 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (4)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“We target 5% Unit Growth as part of our long-term metrics.”
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“The Company targets 5% Unit Growth.”
- 2025-Q1Multiple sources
“We aim for 5% Unit Growth over time.”
- 2024-Q4Multiple sources
“5% Unit Growth is a target for the Company.”
- #2
Achieve 7% System Sales Growth
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04Yum! Brands aims to achieve 7% system sales growth, excluding foreign exchange impacts.
On track →BehindStated in 4 of last 4 quarters. Yum! Brands has consistently targeted 7% system sales growth, excluding foreign exchange impacts. However, the financials do not provide specific sales growth figures for recent quarters, indicating limited substantive delivery evidence this quarter.
30%CEO/CFO:“The Company targets 7% System Sales Growth, excluding F/X.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-04-29Stated 4 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (4)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“We target 7% System Sales Growth, excluding F/X.”
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“The Company targets 7% System Sales Growth.”
- 2025-Q1Multiple sources
“7% System Sales Growth is a target.”
- 2024-Q4Multiple sources
“We aim for 7% System Sales Growth.”
- #3
Achieve 8% Core Operating Profit Growth
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04Yum! Brands aims to achieve at least 8% core operating profit growth as part of its long-term financial performance metrics.
On track →BehindStated in 4 of last 4 quarters. Yum! Brands has consistently targeted at least 8% core operating profit growth. However, specific operating profit growth figures for recent quarters are not provided, indicating limited substantive delivery evidence this quarter.
30%CEO/CFO:“The Company targets at least 8% Core Operating Profit Growth.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-04-29Stated 4 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (4)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“We target at least 8% Core Operating Profit Growth.”
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“The Company targets 8% Core Operating Profit Growth.”
- 2025-Q1Multiple sources
“8% Core Operating Profit Growth is a target.”
- 2024-Q4Multiple sources
“We aim for 8% Core Operating Profit Growth.”
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
71 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
YUM Yum! Brands | +16 | fair | moderate |
AMZN Amazon | +16 | full | moderate |
TSLA Tesla, Inc. | +0.4 | expensive | elevated |
HD Home Depot (The) | +14 | full | moderate |
CVNA Carvana | +14 | — | high |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If consumer_discretionary sector trend rises from +0.10 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-04-29)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-04-29)-8.0 pts
- If consumer_discretionary sector trend falls from +0.10 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
- If growth state reverses from +0.25 (positive) to -0.25 (negative)-4.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-04-299d agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On April 29, 2026, YUM! Brands, Inc. ( “ YUM ” ) issued a press release announcing financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated by reference herein.
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 53 - 2026-04-011mo agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. (d) On March 26, 2026, the Board of Directors of Yum! Brands, Inc. (the “Company”) appointed Kathleen K. Oberg as a director. Her appointment is effective April 1, 2026, and she will stand for election to the Board by shareholders at the Company’s next Annual Meeting. As of the date of this filing, Ms. Oberg has not been appointed to a committee of…
executive changeneutralscore 24 - 2026-02-122mo agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On February 10, 2026, Keith Barr, a member of the Board of Directors (the “Board”) of Yum! Brands Inc. ("YUM" or the "Company") informed the Company that he will resign from the Board effective as of that date. Mr. Barr’s resignation was not the result of any disagreement with the Company on any matter relating to its operations, policies, or pract…
executive changeneutralscore 8 - 2026-02-043mo agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On February 4, 2026, Yum! Brands, Inc. issued a press release announcing financial results for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. Section 9 – Financial Statements and Exhibits
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 8 - 2025-05-2011mo agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. As disclosed below, on May 15, 2025, the shareholders of YUM! Brands, Inc. (the “Company”) approved the adoption of the YUM! Brands, Inc. 2025 Long Term Incentive Plan (the “LTIP”) at the Company’s annual meeting of shareholders. The terms of the LTIP are set forth in the proxy statement, dated April 4, 2025, for the annual meeting of shareholders,…
executive changeneutralscore 0
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.