Yum! Brands (YUM)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryRestaurantsSnapshot 2026-07-07
$167.49+0.90%
Close 2026-07-07 · 1-day change
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Track YUM free→Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Restaurants is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Management is running behind on a stated commitment.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 10% over the past year.
View GrowthMiddle-of-the-pack quality for its industry.
View QualityManagement screens strong on capital allocation, margins, the balance sheet.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskYUM's growth potential hinges on its strategic divestment of Pizza Hut for $2.7 billion, which aims to enhance unit growth across its remaining brands. Revenue grew 15% year over year in Q1 FY2026, and the latest earnings beat supports this positive trajectory. YUM trades at a P/E of 26, above the peer median of 20, indicating that the market expects strong performance, though expectations appear modest compared to the company's growth outlook. A specific risk is the potential for YUM to cut guidance on the next earnings call, with a miss probability of 17%. Peer multiples imply a price roughly in line with where it trades. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-07-07. YUM is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 26 analysts currently covering YUM (as of Jul 2026).
Based on 3 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for YUM in the last 4 months.
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $167.49. As of 2026-07-08. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Restaurants — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Selling Pizza Hut could impact overall growth objectives.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-07-07. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
Current $167.49
The last 12 months of price, then the range of analyst 12-month targets from today’s $167.49.
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Potential sale could unlock capital for growth initiatives.
Sale may hinder growth objectives and brand strategy.
Sale aligns with strategic focus on core brands.
Sale of Pizza Hut affects overall brand growth.
Delivery culture shift impacts Pizza Hut's growth potential.
Advances: Achieve 5% Unit Growth
Sale aligns with growth strategy and reduces underperforming assets.
Advances: Achieve 5% Unit Growth
Divestiture allows for better focus on growth objectives.