Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (AAP)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionarySpecialty RetailSnapshot 2026-11-05
$48.12-5.18%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionarySpecialty RetailSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · AAP
How strong the business is — where it ranks within its sector on capital efficiency and cash generation, and how well management has been executing.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
$300 | Approx. $300 || Free cash flow | Approx.
Stated in 4 of 4 supplied quarters. Management reported: “The focus on executing our initiatives helped Advance achieve a significant milestone with the return to positive year to date free cash flow, following two years of outflows.” “$300 | Approx. $300 || Free cash flow | Approx.”
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated strong grew net income 62% of the time over the next year (vs 50% for the rest of the cohort, n=5250).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
“$300 | Approx. $300 || Free cash flow | Approx.”
“The focus on executing our initiatives helped Advance achieve a significant milestone with the return to positive year to date free cash flow, following two years of outflows.”
“$300 Free cash flow Approx.”
“$300 Free cash flow Approx.”
1.00% | 1.00% | 2.00% || Adjusted operating income margin | 4.00% | 4.30% | 3.80% | 4.50% || Adjusted diluted EPS (3) | $2.75 | $3.10 | $2.60 | $3.30 || Capital expenditures | Approx.
Stated in 4 of 4 supplied quarters. Management reported: “1.00% | 1.00% | 2.00% || Adjusted operating income margin | 4.00% | 4.30% | 3.80% | 4.50% || Adjusted diluted EPS (3) | $2.75 | $3.10 | $2.60 | $3.30 || Capital expenditures | Approx.” “We returned to full year positive comparable sales growth following three years of negative results and expanded adjusted operating income margin by over 200-basis points, which were both in line with our full year 2025 guidance range."”
“1.00% | 1.00% | 2.00% || Adjusted operating income margin | 4.00% | 4.30% | 3.80% | 4.50% || Adjusted diluted EPS (3) | $2.75 | $3.10 | $2.60 | $3.30 || Capital expenditures | Approx.”
“Full Year 2026 Guidance (1) The Company has reaffirmed its full year 2026 guidance for net sales, comparable store sales, adjusted operating income margin, capital expenditures and free cash flow.”
“Full Year 2026 Guidance (1) As of May 21, 2026 ($ in millions, except per share data) Low High Net sales $8,485 $8,575 Comparable store sales (52 weeks) (2) 1.00% 2.00% Adjusted operating income marg…”
“Today, we are announcing 2026 guidance targeting an acceleration in full year comparable sales growth of 1.0% to 2.0% and adjusted operating income margin in the range of 3.8% to 4.5%, which builds o…”
1.00% | 1.00% | 2.00% || Adjusted operating income margin | 4.00% | 4.30% | 3.80% | 4.50% || Adjusted diluted EPS (3) | $2.75 | $3.10 | $2.60 | $3.30 || Capital expenditures | Approx.
Stated in 4 of 4 supplied quarters. Management reported: “1.00% | 1.00% | 2.00% || Adjusted operating income margin | 4.00% | 4.30% | 3.80% | 4.50% || Adjusted diluted EPS (3) | $2.75 | $3.10 | $2.60 | $3.30 || Capital expenditures | Approx.” “We returned to full year positive comparable sales growth following three years of negative results and expanded adjusted operating income margin by over 200-basis points, which were both in line with our full year 2025 guidance range."”
“1.00% | 1.00% | 2.00% || Adjusted operating income margin | 4.00% | 4.30% | 3.80% | 4.50% || Adjusted diluted EPS (3) | $2.75 | $3.10 | $2.60 | $3.30 || Capital expenditures | Approx.”
“Full Year 2026 Guidance (1) The Company has reaffirmed its full year 2026 guidance for net sales, comparable store sales, adjusted operating income margin, capital expenditures and free cash flow.”
“Full Year 2026 Guidance (1) As of May 21, 2026 ($ in millions, except per share data) Low High Net sales $8,485 $8,575 Comparable store sales (52 weeks) (2) 1.00% 2.00% Adjusted operating income marg…”
“Today, we are announcing 2026 guidance targeting an acceleration in full year comparable sales growth of 1.0% to 2.0% and adjusted operating income margin in the range of 3.8% to 4.5%, which builds o…”
$300 | Approx. $300 || Free cash flow | Approx.
Stated in 4 of 4 supplied quarters. Management reported: “$300 | Approx. $300 || Free cash flow | Approx.” “$300 Free cash flow Approx.”
“$300 | Approx. $300 || Free cash flow | Approx.”
“Full Year 2026 Guidance (1) The Company has reaffirmed its full year 2026 guidance for net sales, comparable store sales, adjusted operating income margin, capital expenditures and free cash flow.”
“$300 Free cash flow Approx.”
“$300 Free cash flow Approx.”
$300 | Approx. $300 || Free cash flow | Approx.
Stated in 4 of 4 supplied quarters. Management reported: “$300 | Approx. $300 || Free cash flow | Approx.” “$100 Store growth Store Openings 40 - 45 Market hub openings 10 - 15 (1) Adjusted operating income margin, Adjusted diluted EPS and Free cash flow are non-GAAP measures.”
“$300 | Approx. $300 || Free cash flow | Approx.”
“Additionally, the Company has revised its new store and market hub opening schedule for the year.”
“$100 Store growth Store Openings 40 - 45 Market hub openings 10 - 15 (1) Adjusted operating income margin, Adjusted diluted EPS and Free cash flow are Non-GAAP measures.”
“$100 Store growth Store Openings 40 - 45 Market hub openings 10 - 15 (1) Adjusted operating income margin, Adjusted diluted EPS and Free cash flow are non-GAAP measures.”
Over the trailing year it converted -4.22x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated fragile grew net income 40% of the time over the next year (vs 53% for the rest of the cohort, n=3629).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, long-term interest rates, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, Fed net liquidity (low R² over the window).
17 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated neutral grew net income 53% of the time over the next year (vs 54% for the rest of the cohort, n=6802).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-11-05.