Aurora Innovation Inc (AUR)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionarySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-05
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionarySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · AUR
How strong the business is — where it ranks within its sector on capital efficiency and cash generation, and how well management has been executing.
How this business ranks within consumer discretionary on a research-validated quality screen. As of 2026-11-05.
The screen ranks AUR against its sector on four durable signals: share dilution, return on capital, free-cash-flow yield, and FCF margin. Historically the highest-quality names tended toward better typical outcomes and fewer bad years over multi-year holds (strongest at three years, modest at one), and that pattern showed up even before the price moved. It characterizes business quality, not price direction.
Each leg is a sector-relative percentile (higher is better); 3 of 4 legs were available for this name. The composite is built from these four; the raw value follows each percentile for context.
A forward quality tilt, not a price prediction, and context for your own research rather than a recommendation. Not investment advice.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated weak grew net income 56% of the time over the next year (vs 52% for the rest of the cohort, n=5250).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Building on this foundation and with a steady-state production rate of approximately 20 trucks per week expected by early December, we remain on track to exit 2027 with more than 1,000 driverless tru…
Stated in 2 of 2 supplied quarters. Management reported: “Reflecting a production ramp about six weeks behind our prior plan, we now expect 2026 revenue of approximately $9 million, which continues to represent substantial year-over-year growth.” “Building on this foundation and with a steady-state production rate of approximately 20 trucks per week expected by early December, we remain on track to exit 2027 with more than 1,000 driverless trucks in operation.”
“Building on this foundation and with a steady-state production rate of approximately 20 trucks per week expected by early December, we remain on track to exit 2027 with more than 1,000 driverless tru…”
“Backed by this momentum, we are already fully allocated to exit the year with 200 driverless trucks in operation and are in negotiations with a number of customers for our Driver as a Service (DaaS)…”
This cash spend was within our externally communicated quarterly average target.
Stated in 2 of 2 supplied quarters. Management reported: “We used approximately $170 million in operating cash during the third quarter of 2026 and capital expenditures totaled $36 million.” “This cash spend was within our externally communicated quarterly average target.”
“This cash spend was within our externally communicated quarterly average target.”
With weekly output steadily improving, we now expect to achieve our targeted production rate of 20 trucks per week in early December.
Stated in 2 of 2 supplied quarters. Management reported: “With weekly output steadily improving, we now expect to achieve our targeted production rate of 20 trucks per week in early December.” “Together with Roush, we are working to establish an annualized production capability of more than 1,000 trucks.”
“With weekly output steadily improving, we now expect to achieve our targeted production rate of 20 trucks per week in early December.”
AUMOVIO has initiated design validation for our third-generation commercial hardware kit, while finalizing the line concept and production flow at its dedicated facility in New Braunfels, Texas.
Stated in 2 of 2 supplied quarters. Management reported: “Crucially, we expect this kit to drive a 50%+ reduction in Aurora Driver hardware costs, a key lever supporting our breakeven gross margin target.” “AUMOVIO has initiated design validation for our third-generation commercial hardware kit, while finalizing the line concept and production flow at its dedicated facility in New Braunfels, Texas.”
Convert customer interest and agreements into broader use of Aurora Driver-powered trucks and longer-term commercial commitments.
Over the trailing year it converted 0.74x of net income into operating cash flow.
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, Fed net liquidity, long-term interest rates (low R² over the window).
4 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated stable grew net income 53% of the time over the next year (vs 54% for the rest of the cohort, n=4907).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-11-05.
“To support our scaling plan, we continue to expect quarterly cash use of approximately $190 - $220 million, on average, in 2026.”
“We have already received the initial builds and expect Roush to ramp to an annual run-rate of 1,000 trucks in October.”
“AUMOVIO has initiated design validation for our third-generation commercial hardware kit, while finalizing the line concept and production flow at its dedicated facility in New Braunfels, Texas.”
“Crucially, we expect this kit to drive a 50%+ reduction in Aurora Driver hardware costs, a key lever supporting our breakeven gross margin target.”