
Ball Corporation (BALL)
NYSEMaterialsPackaging & ContainersSnapshot 2026-07-07
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NYSEMaterialsPackaging & ContainersSnapshot 2026-07-07
Reading BALL? This analysis is rebuilt every market day. Get it tracked free. No credit card.
Track BALL free→Ball Corporation grows earnings over 10% a year. Free cash flow exceeds $900 million. The company has a stable leadership transition. Valuation is attractive versus peers with a PE of 17.4 versus 23.5.
Revenue fell sharply from $3.38B in 2025-Q2 to $2.20B in 2025-Q4. Leadership changes may disrupt execution. Profit growth could slow if demand weakens or costs rise.
The price is about 0% above our $62.84 fair value. Analysts expect 6.3% revenue growth. We see upside if Ball hits its 10%+ EPS growth target and free cash flow goals.
Breaks if: EPS growth falls below 6% YoY in FY26
Ball Corporation aims for a 10-plus percent growth in comparable diluted earnings per share in 2026.
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Revenue fell from $3.38B in 2025-Q2 to $2.20B in 2025-Q4, indicating challenges in achieving the EPS growth target. The trajectory shows limited progress towards the 10-plus percent EPS growth goal.
Breaks if: Free cash flow falls below $700 million in FY26
Ball Corporation aims to generate free cash flow greater than $900 million in 2026.
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. Cash from operating activities was $1.64B in 2025-Q4, indicating potential to meet the free cash flow target. The trajectory suggests progress towards generating over $900 million in free cash flow.
Breaks if: Significant leadership disruption or negative CEO news
Ball Corporation is undergoing a leadership transition with the appointment of a new CEO.
Standing thesis, reviewed periodically — not a price target or advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
“In 2026, expect comparable diluted earnings per share growth of 10-plus percent.”
“The company reaffirms its previously issued full-year comparable diluted earnings per share growth outlook of 12-15%.”
“We remain confident in the resilience and momentum of our business as we enter the final quarter... positions us to deliver on our guidance of 12-15% comparable diluted EPS growth for 2025.”
“Free cash flow greater than $900 million.”
“Free cash flow greater than $900 million.”