Build-A-Bear Workshop, Inc. (BBW)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionarySpecialty RetailSnapshot 2026-09-04
NYSEConsumer DiscretionarySpecialty RetailSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · BBW
How strong the business is — where it ranks within its sector on capital efficiency and cash generation, and how well management has been executing.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Management lowered the fiscal 2026 total revenue outlook to $500 million to $525 million, reflecting challenges in consumer traffic and wholesale opportunities.
Stated as a priority in 3 of last 3 quarters. Revenue guidance was $530M to $550M in 2026-Q1 and 2026-Q2, then lowered to $500M to $525M in 2026-Q3. Actual revenue declined 4.8% in first half 2026 to $240.6M and 7.2% in 2026-Q3 to $115.3M. The trajectory shows management moderating expectations amid challenging sales trends.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated strong grew net income 63% of the time over the next year (vs 50% for the rest of the cohort, n=5213).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
“The Company updates its fiscal 2026 expectations, including lowering its revenue outlook to a range of $500 million to $525 million.”
“For fiscal 2026 the Company now expects total revenue of $530 million to $550 million.”
“The Company updates its 2026 outlook, decreasing revenue guidance to $530 million to $550 million.”
Management lowered fiscal 2026 pre-tax income guidance to $60 million to $68 million, reflecting tariff refunds and ongoing costs.
Stated as a priority in 3 of last 3 quarters. Pre-tax income guidance was $72M to $78M in 2026-Q1 and 2026-Q2, then lowered to $60M to $68M in 2026-Q3. Actual pre-tax income declined from $23.9M in 2026-Q2 to $11.6M in 2026-Q3. The trajectory shows management adjusting expectations downward amid weaker quarterly results.
“The Company updates its fiscal 2026 expectations, lowering pre-tax income outlook to $60 million to $68 million.”
“For fiscal 2026 the Company now expects pre-tax income of $72 million to $78 million.”
“The Company updates its 2026 outlook, revising pre-tax income guidance to $72 million to $78 million.”
Management continues to expect capital expenditures in the range of $22 million to $25 million for fiscal 2026 to support growth initiatives.
Stated as a priority in 3 of last 3 quarters. Capital expenditures guidance remained consistent at $22M to $25M for fiscal 2026. Actual capex was $6.9M in 2026-Q2 and $8.6M in 2026-Q3, showing ongoing investment. The trajectory is steady delivery against stated capital allocation plans.
“The Company now expects capital expenditures of approximately $25 million for fiscal 2026.”
“For fiscal 2026, the Company continues to expect capital expenditures of $22 million to $25 million.”
“The Company expects capital expenditures in the range of $22 million to $25 million for fiscal 2026.”
Management targets net new unit growth of at least 50 global experience locations through corporate, partner-operated, and franchise models in fiscal 2026.
Stated as a priority in 3 of last 3 quarters. The Company reported net new unit growth of 7 locations in 2026-Q2 and 5 locations in 2026-Q3, totaling 12 new locations in half a year. The trajectory shows ongoing progress but below the annual target pace so far.
“The Company continues to expect net new unit growth of at least 50 experience locations through multiple business models.”
“The Company continues to expect net new unit growth of at least 50 experience locations.”
“The Company continues to expect net new unit growth of at least 50 experience locations.”
Management prioritizes returning capital to shareholders through share repurchases and quarterly cash dividends, with $22.7 million returned in first half 2026.
Stated as a priority in 3 of last 3 quarters. The Company returned $46 million to shareholders over 12 months ending 2026-Q1, including $14.2 million in 2026-Q1 and $22.7 million in first half 2026. The trajectory shows consistent capital return via repurchases and dividends.
“For the first half of fiscal 2026, the Company returned $22.7 million to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends.”
“The Company returned $14.2 million to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends in the first quarter.”
“The Company returned $46 million to shareholders over the past 12 months through share repurchases and dividends.”
Over the trailing year it converted 1.37x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated neutral grew net income 49% of the time over the next year (vs 49% for the rest of the cohort, n=4864).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity (low R² over the window).
17 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated volatile grew net income 59% of the time over the next year (vs 48% for the rest of the cohort, n=1937).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-09-04.