C.H. Robinson (CHRW)
NASDAQIndustrialsIntegrated Freight & LogisticsSnapshot 2026-07-08
$189.95-0.52%
Close 2026-07-08 · 1-day change
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Track CHRW free→Warn: Management is running behind on a stated commitment.
C.H. Robinson is growing its North American Surface Transportation revenue by about 2.8% year-over-year. The company keeps capital spending disciplined, targeting $75 million to $85 million in 2026. It has a strong track record of beating earnings estimates, with recent beats near 9%. New technology and acquisitions support efficiency and market share gains.
Revenue growth is weak and declining, with recent quarters showing negative overall revenue growth. Capital expenditures could rise beyond guidance due to new logistics deals. The stock trades at a high price-to-earnings ratio of 36.2, above peers, suggesting stretched valuation. Market headwinds in the sector may pressure margins and growth.
The market expects about 7.7% revenue growth next year and prices the stock roughly 32% above our model's valuation level. Our valuation is about 30% below the Street median, indicating the market may be optimistic. We see risk if growth or capital discipline falters.
Breaks if: capital expenditures exceed $85 million in FY26
Maintain capital expenditures within the guidance range of $75 million to $85 million for 2026.
Standing thesis, reviewed periodically — not a price target or advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. Capital expenditures are guided to be between $75 million and $85 million for 2026. This consistent guidance indicates a focus on disciplined capital allocation, but actual expenditure figures for 2026-Q1 are not provided, suggesting a recurring focus with limited substantive delivery so far.
“Capital expenditures for 2026 are expected to be $75 million to $85 million.”
“Capital expenditures for 2026 are expected to be $75 million to $85 million.”
“Capital expenditures for 2025 are expected to be $65 million to $75 million.”
Breaks if: EPS misses consensus by more than 5% next 4 quarters
Breaks if: NAST revenue growth falls below 1% YoY next year
Continue to gain market share in North American Surface Transportation (NAST) segment.
Stated in 2 of last 2 quarters. NAST total revenues increased to $2.9 billion, up 2.8% year-over-year, indicating progress in market share gains. This aligns with management's stated priority of gaining market share, showing delivering trajectory.
“We gained market share in our NAST business for the 12th consecutive quarter.”
“Continued market share gains in NAST segment.”