CNX Resources (CNX)
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSnapshot 2026-11-05
$35.30-1.75%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CNX
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
No current thesis-health read is available for this company.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 0.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -15.4% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 15.4 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 27 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
CNX — earnings miss
Dated 2026-10-29
and Item 7.01, including Exhibit 99.1, are being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, and will not be incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, unless specifically identified therein as being incorporated therein by reference.
Why it matters: The recent miss came with a sharp drop in company momentum. The next report can show if results are still under pressure.
Worry ifThe next report shows revenue or net income below the prior quarter's level. Or, the company reports another earnings miss.
Less concerning ifThe next report shows both revenue and net income above Q3 2026 levels, with no new earnings miss notice.
Why it matters: CNX planned to fund the remaining note redemption with a new notes sale. Completion would confirm the planned debt change.
Watch forA filing or company release confirms the new notes sale closed. It also confirms all remaining 2029 notes were redeemed.
Also watch forCNX says the new notes sale did not close, or the redemption notice was withdrawn.
Why it matters: Q3 total sales were 156.3 Bcfe, down from 161.3 Bcfe a year earlier. A recovery would support higher revenue.
Worry ifQ4 total sales fall below 156.3 Bcfe, or average daily production falls below 1,699 MMcfe.
Less concerning ifQ4 total sales rise above 161.3 Bcfe, the Q3 2025 level, and daily production tops 1,753 MMcfe.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$119 on $10,000 · ±1.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $306 loss on $10,000 · 3.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,685 loss on $10,000 · 26.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.