Corteva (CTVA)
NYSEMaterialsAgricultural InputsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$12.26+3.20%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEMaterialsAgricultural InputsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CTVA
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -69.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -49.7% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 19.6 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 2 industry peers
CTVA — CEO transition
Dated 2026-10-07
CEO — Luther Kissam: The filing describes a structured separation event where the CEO and other officers resigned and were immediately replaced by named successors, indicating an orderly succession rather than a sudden loss of leadership.
Why it matters: The audited crop protection statements show 2025 sales of $7.84 billion, up from 2024. A further rise would show growth continued.
Supportive ifThe next annual filing reports crop protection sales above $7.84 billion.
Worry ifThe next annual filing reports crop protection sales at or below $7.84 billion.
Why it matters: Crop protection sales rose in 2026-Q1. Continued growth would support the business case for the standalone company.
Supportive ifStandalone crop protection sales rise year over year in the next reported quarter.
Worry ifStandalone crop protection sales fall year over year in the next reported quarter.
Why it matters: A court order could change how the seed split works. The separation is complete, but states have challenged it.
Worry ifA court keeps or issues an order that delays, blocks, or changes the completed separation.
Less concerning ifThe court dismisses the case or denies requests to delay or undo the separation.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$135 on $10,000 · ±1.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $291 loss on $10,000 · 2.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $8,748 loss on $10,000 · 87.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.