DoorDash (DASH)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryInternet Content & InformationSnapshot 2026-09-04
$211.73-4.63%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryInternet Content & InformationSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · DASH
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance dropped from the top half to the bottom half of its industry over the past month — the reason to own it has weakened.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 61.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 25.8% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 36.0 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 32 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
DASH — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-05
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 5, 2026 , DoorDash issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended June 30, 2026. A copy of the press release is attached as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference.
Why it matters: Adjusted EBITDA shows how profitable a company is. A miss may mean problems in operations.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA for Q2 2026 was below $770 million.
Less concerning ifAdjusted EBITDA for Q2 2026 was above $870 million.
Why it matters: A drop in net income margin may mean higher costs or less profit.
Worry ifNet income margin reported below 0.6% in Q2 2026.
Less concerning ifNet income margin remains above 0.7% in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: A slowdown in Marketplace GOV growth could signal weakening demand or market share loss.
Worry ifMarketplace GOV growth in Q3 2026 is reported below 30% year over year.
Less concerning ifMarketplace GOV growth in Q3 2026 exceeds 30% year over year.
Why it matters: More DashPass members show strong customer interest and loyalty.
Supportive ifDashPass membership growth speeds up. This means more sign-ups and less drop-off.
Worry ifDashPass membership growth slows or declines in the next quarter.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$205 on $10,000 · ±2.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $464 loss on $10,000 · 4.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,797 loss on $10,000 · 48.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: A successful rollout could make things work better and speed up product development.
Supportive ifThe global technology platform is fully rolled out as planned in the first half of 2027.
Worry ifThe rollout of the global technology platform is delayed beyond H1 2027.