DoorDash (DASH)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryInternet RetailSnapshot 2026-07-07
$195.72+3.85%
Close 2026-07-07 · 1-day change
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Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $195.72. As of 2026-07-08. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $196 the market pays 5.9× p/s — above the 2.1× p/s peer median but in line with its own 6× history. That premium reflects a durable franchise our peer-anchored $172 fair value understates; treat the 'expensive vs peers' read with low confidence. Analysts target $190–$350. Note: our $172 fair value sits below the entire analyst range ($190–$350). Not investment advice.
$190.00 – $350.00 (median $225.00) · 11 analysts · as of 2026-07-06
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Richer than its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $225.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $50.40 | 13.9 | 3.34 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $77.20 | 19.5 | 3.96 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $48.65 | 23.2 | 2.10 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $69.40 | 2.1 | 33.28 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $133.72 | 63.7 | 2.10 | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $174.13 | 82.9 | 2.10 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $52.47 | 23.2 | 2.26 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $117.41 | 19.5 | 6.02 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $73.99 | 23.2 | 3.19 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $124.75 | 2.1 | 59.82 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $203.37 | 63.7 | 3.19 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $264.83 | 82.9 | 3.19 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $155.28 | 19.5 | 7.97 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $97.85 | 23.2 | 4.22 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $164.98 | 2.1 | 79.12 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $268.96 | 63.7 | 4.22 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $350.24 | 82.9 | 4.22 | Analyst | medium |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.