Datadog (DDOG)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-09-04
$212.93-0.85%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · DDOG
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 40.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 27.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 13.0 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 119 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
DDOG — capital allocation — Material Modification to Rights of Shareholders
Dated 2026-04-22
Material Modification to Rights of Shareholders. On April 21, 2026, at a special meeting of stockholders (the “Special Meeting”) of Datadog, Inc. (the “Company”), the stockholders of the Company approved a proposal to redomicile the Company (the “Redomiciliation”) from a corporation organized under the laws of the State of Delaware (the “Delaware Corporation”) to a corporation organized under the laws of the State of Nevada (the “Nevada Corporation”) by means of a plan of conversion (the “Pla…
Why it matters: New AI features could drive customer interest and revenue growth for Datadog.
Supportive ifLook for new AI features or partnerships announced on February 12, 2026.
Worry ifWatch for no major news about AI features on Investor Day.
Why it matters: The conference will show new AI ideas. A good response can raise customer interest and sales.
Supportive ifGood feedback from attendees and media coverage shows off new product features.
Worry ifBad feedback or no interest in new product features shown at the conference.
Why it matters: More high-value customers show strong market demand. It also means customers are staying.
Supportive ifThe number of customers with over $1 million in ARR is more than 603.
Worry ifNumber of $1 million+ ARR customers remains at or below 603.
Why it matters: This guidance shows Datadog's ability to make money and grow. It is important for investor trust.
Supportive ifNon-GAAP EPS guidance falls within the range of $2.36 to $2.44.
Worry ifNon-GAAP EPS guidance falls below $2.36.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$194 on $10,000 · ±1.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $560 loss on $10,000 · 5.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,862 loss on $10,000 · 48.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: This EPS target shows how much money Datadog makes. Meeting it means they are financially healthy.
Supportive ifNon-GAAP EPS reported between $0.57 and $0.59.
Worry ifNon-GAAP EPS reported below $0.57.
Why it matters: The conference may show new products and partnerships. Good news can help investors feel more confident.
Watch forNew product announcements or partnerships are made at DASH 2026.
Also watch forNo big announcements or partnerships happen at DASH 2026.
Why it matters: This change may affect Datadog's taxes and how it operates. Clear information will influence how investors feel.
Watch forThe move to Nevada is now complete. This is an official announcement.
Also watch forAnnouncement of delays or problems with the move to Nevada.
Why it matters: A slowdown in customer growth could indicate challenges in attracting new clients.
Worry ifCustomer growth rate reported below 19% YoY.
Less concerning ifCustomer growth rate reported above 20% YoY.
Why it matters: Meeting or beating guidance shows strong demand for Datadog's services. It also shows growth.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue reported at or above $1.145 billion.
Worry ifQ3 revenue reported below $1.135 billion.
Why it matters: More large customers mean strong demand in the market. It also shows customer loyalty.
Supportive if$100k+ ARR customers increase to over 4,800.
Worry if$100k+ ARR customers remain below 4,720.
Why it matters: Hitting this target shows progress toward making money and running the business well.
Supportive ifNon-GAAP net income per share reported at $0.65.
Worry ifNon-GAAP net income per share reported below $0.63.