Datadog (DDOG)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-04
$188.72-14.42%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · DDOG
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 17.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 32.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 15.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 36 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
DDOG — capital allocation — Material Modification to Rights of Shareholders
Dated 2026-04-22
Material Modification to Rights of Shareholders. On April 21, 2026, at a special meeting of stockholders (the “Special Meeting”) of Datadog, Inc. (the “Company”), the stockholders of the Company approved a proposal to redomicile the Company (the “Redomiciliation”) from a corporation organized under the laws of the State of Delaware (the “Delaware Corporation”) to a corporation organized under the laws of the State of Nevada (the “Nevada Corporation”) by means of a plan of conversion (the “Pla…
Why it matters: Datadog launched several AI tools, but the supplied results do not show their sales impact. Paid use would show demand.
Watch forManagement reports more paid use of Bits AI or other new AI tools. It also reports related revenue or customer counts.
Also watch forManagement reports weak paid use, delayed rollout, or no customer growth tied to the new AI tools.
Why it matters: More large customers can support future growth. Their count rose 23% year over year in Q2.
Supportive ifThe next report shows $100k+ ARR customer growth above 20% year over year.
Worry ifThe next report shows $100k+ ARR customer growth below 20% year over year.
Why it matters: Datadog raised its 2026 revenue guide after Q2 revenue grew 36%. Q3 results test whether that pace continues.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue tops $1.145 billion, above the high end of the August guide.
Worry ifQ3 revenue falls below $1.135 billion, under the low end of the August guide.
Why it matters: The sector is still growing, but its trend is easing. A further slowdown could add pressure to software spending.
Worry ifThe sector report says revenue growth has fallen below its median.
Less concerning ifThe sector report says revenue growth remains at or above its median.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$203 on $10,000 · ±2.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $700 loss on $10,000 · 7.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,862 loss on $10,000 · 48.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Datadog's Q2 non-GAAP operating margin rose to 23%, from 22% in Q1. Q3 results test if income growth continues.
Supportive ifQ3 non-GAAP operating income tops $270 million, above the high end of the August guide.
Worry ifQ3 non-GAAP operating income falls below $260 million, under the low end of the August guide.