Dow Inc. (DOW)
NYSEMaterialsChemicalsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$32.70-3.23%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEMaterialsChemicalsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · DOW
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -3.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 0.7% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 4.2 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 5 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
DOW — debt issuance
Dated 2026-07-10
Other Events. Dow Inc. (the “Company”) is registering 5,410,000 shares (the “Shares”) of its common stock, par value $0.01 per share, under the Company’s registration statement on Form S-3 (File No. 333-288028) (the “Registration Statement”), to be issued pursuant to the base prospectus contained therein, as supplemented by a prospectus supplement, dated as of July 10, 2026, filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission on July 10, 2026 (the “Prospectus Supplement”). The Shares may b…
Why it matters: Dow linked its earnings gains to cost and growth actions. More than $1 billion in benefits in 2026 would show those gains are holding.
Supportive ifDow reports more than $1 billion in self-help benefits for 2026, in line with its stated goal.
Worry ifDow reports less than $1 billion in 2026 benefits or lowers that goal.
Why it matters: The sector signal says Materials revenue has been shrinking, though recent data hints at a change. Positive growth would confirm that shift.
Watch forMaterials sector revenue growth turns positive, rather than staying near -1%.
Also watch forMaterials sector revenue growth stays negative or falls further below -1%.
Why it matters: Dow reported gains from its first European shutdown. Results from the next shutdowns will test whether closing higher-cost plants helps margins.
Supportive ifDow reports more savings from its second or third European asset shutdown. The savings grow through 2027.
Worry ifDow reports no added savings from later shutdowns, or reports costs that offset the first shutdown's gains.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$151 on $10,000 · ±1.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $343 loss on $10,000 · 3.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,547 loss on $10,000 · 35.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.