Domino's (DPZ)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryRestaurantsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$341.63+0.28%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryRestaurantsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · DPZ
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -16.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 3.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 19.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 10 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
DPZ — officer change
Dated 2026-10-08
Director — Patricia E. Lopez: The filing discloses the planned retirement of a director for personal reasons, which is a routine board change rather than a sudden executive loss.
Why it matters: U.S. same-store sales fell to 0.3% in Q3 from 5.2% a year earlier. Another decline would show weaker sales at existing stores.
Worry ifU.S. same-store sales fall below 0% in the next reported quarter.
Less concerning ifU.S. same-store sales stay above 0% in the next reported quarter.
Why it matters: Q3 supply chain gross margin rose to 12.2%, helped by better buying. A drop below 12% would weaken that recent gain.
Watch forSupply chain gross margin stays above 12% in the next reported quarter.
Also watch forSupply chain gross margin falls below 12% in the next reported quarter.
Why it matters: New stores add to the global sales base and franchise royalties. Q3 added 175 stores, while trailing four-quarter growth reached 956.
Supportive ifDomino's adds at least 175 net stores in the next reported quarter.
Worry ifDomino's adds fewer than 150 net stores in the next reported quarter.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$155 on $10,000 · ±1.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $322 loss on $10,000 · 3.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,512 loss on $10,000 · 35.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.