EastGroup Properties (EGP)
NYSEReal EstateReit - IndustrialSnapshot 2026-09-04
$198.62+0.08%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - IndustrialSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · EGP
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 22.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 9.8% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 12.3 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 15 industry peers
EGP — earnings in line
Dated 2026-07-22
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On July 22, 2026 , EastGroup Properties, Inc. (the "Company") furnished the following documents: (i) a press release relating to its results of operations for the quarter ended June 30, 2026 and related matters; and (ii) quarterly supplemental financial information for the fiscal quarter ended June 30, 2026. A copy of the press release as well as a copy of the supplemental financial information are made available on the Company's website and are a…
Why it matters: Finishing new projects shows growth in capacity and money-making chances. It shows how well management is expanding.
Supportive ifManagement finishes at least 347,000 square feet of new projects.
Worry ifNo new projects are completed or delays are announced.
Why it matters: If revenue growth in the real estate sector picks up, it could help EastGroup's performance. It signals a stronger market.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth turns positive and exceeds 2% year over year.
Worry ifSector revenue growth remains negative or below 0% year over year.
Why it matters: Higher rental rates indicate strong demand and can improve revenue. This trend supports growth in net operating income.
Supportive ifAverage rental rates on new leases increase above 34.1% on a straight-line basis.
Worry ifAverage rental rates on new leases fall below 30% increase.
Why it matters: Going above this number shows strong performance. It also supports growth plans.
Supportive ifQ2 FFO per share reported above $2.34.
Worry ifQ2 FFO per share reported below $2.34.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$67 on $10,000 · ±0.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $164 loss on $10,000 · 1.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,159 loss on $10,000 · 11.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Finishing this deal would help EastGroup grow in an important market.
Supportive ifThe Austin property deal closes for about $83 million.
Worry ifThe deal is delayed or called off.
Why it matters: Exceeding this amount would indicate strong growth and confidence in market demand.
Supportive ifTotal development starts for 2026 are over $325 million.
Worry ifTotal development starts for 2026 remain at or below $325 million.
Why it matters: Growth in same property net operating income shows strong demand and effective management. This can indicate future revenue strength.
Supportive ifSame property net operating income grows more than 9.2% year over year.
Worry ifSame property net operating income growth falls below 7.5% year over year.
Why it matters: Keeping or raising dividends shows good financial health. It builds trust with shareholders.
Supportive ifManagement says they will raise the dividend by more than 3%.
Worry ifManagement says they will cut the dividend or not raise it.
Why it matters: Growth above this level shows high demand. It also shows good management.
Supportive ifSame property NOI growth reported above 7.5% for Q2.
Worry ifSame property NOI growth reported below 7.5% for Q2.
Why it matters: An increase would reflect strong cash flow and commitment to returning value to shareholders.
Supportive ifAnnouncement of a dividend increase above $1.55 per share.
Worry ifNo increase in dividends has been announced. There may also be a decrease.
Why it matters: Occupancy rates impact revenue. A drop could signal trouble in leasing or market demand.
Worry ifOccupancy rates fall below 90% for the quarter.
Less concerning ifOccupancy rates stay above 90% or go up.
Why it matters: Earnings results will show how well EastGroup is managing in a tough market. Investors look for growth trends in revenue and occupancy.
Supportive ifQ1 earnings show revenue growth of more than 5% year over year.
Worry ifQ1 earnings report shows revenue growth of less than 0% year over year.
Why it matters: If EPS guidance goes up, it shows strong earnings and management confidence.
Supportive ifManagement raises EPS guidance for 2026 to above $5.97.
Worry ifEPS guidance remains at or below $5.97.
Why it matters: An increase in FFO guidance would indicate strong cash flow growth and operational strength.
Supportive ifManagement raises FFO guidance for 2026 to above $9.66.
Worry ifFFO guidance remains at or below $9.66.