EastGroup Properties (EGP)
NYSEReal EstateReit - IndustrialSnapshot 2026-11-04
$201.00+0.39%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - IndustrialSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · EGP
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 25.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 10.4% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market and long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 15.2 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 10 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
EGP — director transition
Dated 2026-10-13
Director — Bethany Logan Ropa, Robyn R. Werner: The filing amends a previous 8-K to report the appointment of two new independent directors to the Audit Committee following a board expansion, which is a routine governance action.
Why it matters: New and renewed leases had rates 36.3% higher on a straight-line basis in Q3. A sharp drop would weaken evidence of rent growth.
Watch forIn the next reported quarter, average new and renewal lease rates are at least 30% above prior rates. Rates use a straight-line basis.
Also watch forIn the next reported quarter, average new and renewal lease rates are below 20% above prior rates. Rates use a straight-line basis.
Why it matters: EastGroup raised 2026 development starts to $390 million. Lease signings can show whether demand supports those projects.
Watch forThe next quarterly update reports over 503,000 square feet of new leases. These are on active and first-generation projects after October 20, 2026.
Also watch forThe next quarterly update reports no new leases on those projects, or less than 100,000 square feet.
Why it matters: FFO per share rose 7.9% year over year in Q3. Continued growth would support the stated focus on growing FFO.
Supportive ifThe next reported quarter shows FFO per diluted share growth of at least 7% year over year.
Worry ifThe next reported quarter shows FFO per diluted share growth below 3% year over year.
Why it matters: Same-property NOI grew 5.3% in Q3. Growth above 5% would show that rent gains still support the current portfolio.
Supportive ifIn the next reported quarter, same-property NOI growth is above 5% year over year. This excludes lease termination income and uses a straight-line basis.
Worry ifIn the next reported quarter, that same-property NOI growth is 5% or less year over year.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$53 on $10,000 · ±0.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $153 loss on $10,000 · 1.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,470 loss on $10,000 · 14.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.