Emerson Electric (EMR)
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-11-04
$170.44+2.43%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · EMR
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 13.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 6.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 7.3 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 40 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
EMR — capital allocation — Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balan…
Dated 2026-02-13
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. On February 10, 2026, Emerson Electric Co. (the "Company") entered into a $2 billion 364-Day Credit Agreement (the “364-Day Credit Facility”), dated as of February 10, 2026, with JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A., as agent, Bank of America, N.A., Citibank, N.A., and Goldman Sachs Bank USA, as syndication agents, and the lenders named therein. The 364-Day Credit Facility expires on Februa…
Why it matters: Emerson set Q4 underlying sales growth near 5%. The next report will show if demand holds after strong Q3 orders.
Watch forQ4 underlying sales growth is 5% or higher, with underlying orders still positive year over year.
Also watch forQ4 underlying sales growth is under 5%, or underlying orders fall year over year.
Why it matters: The company raised its outlook after Q3. The Nov. 4 report can confirm whether stronger results support that higher goal.
Watch forThe Nov. 4 report keeps 2026 adjusted EPS guidance near $6.55 or reports full-year adjusted EPS of at least $6.55.
Also watch forThe Nov. 4 report cuts 2026 adjusted EPS guidance below $6.45.
Why it matters: Management kept its full-year free cash flow goal near $3.6 billion. Cash flow also funds planned shareholder payouts.
Watch forFull-year 2026 free cash flow is at least $3.5 billion and no more than $3.6 billion.
Also watch forFull-year 2026 free cash flow is below $3.5 billion.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$132 on $10,000 · ±1.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $347 loss on $10,000 · 3.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,346 loss on $10,000 · 23.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.