Expedia Group (EXPE)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryTravel ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryTravel ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · EXPE
How strong the business is — where it ranks within its sector on capital efficiency and cash generation, and how well management has been executing.
How this business ranks within consumer discretionary on a research-validated quality screen. As of 2026-09-04.
The screen ranks EXPE against its sector on four durable signals: share dilution, return on capital, free-cash-flow yield, and FCF margin. Historically the highest-quality names tended toward better typical outcomes and fewer bad years over multi-year holds (strongest at three years, modest at one), and that pattern showed up even before the price moved. It characterizes business quality, not price direction.
Each leg is a sector-relative percentile (higher is better); 3 of 4 legs were available for this name. The composite is built from these four; the raw value follows each percentile for context.
A forward quality tilt, not a price prediction, and context for your own research rather than a recommendation. Not investment advice.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated neutral grew net income 45% of the time over the next year (vs 59% for the rest of the cohort, n=6943).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Continue to grow Adjusted EBITDA margins through disciplined execution and margin expansion initiatives.
Stated as a priority in 7 of last 7 quarters. Adjusted EBITDA margin expanded from 9.9% in 2025-Q2 to 25.9% in 2026-Q2, with Adjusted EBITDA growth of 23% in the latest quarter. Management has consistently emphasized margin expansion and the financials show delivering progress with significant margin improvement.
“Adjusted EBITDA increased 23% with 196 basis points of margin expansion.”
“Adjusted EBITDA increased 83% with 591 basis points of margin expansion.”
“Adjusted EBITDA increased 32% with EBITDA margin of 23.9% expanding 368 basis points.”
“Adjusted EBITDA increased 16% with 208 basis points of margin expansion.”
“Adjusted EBITDA increased 16% with 190 basis points of margin expansion.”
“Adjusted EBITDA increased 16% with 105 basis points of margin expansion.”
“Adjusted EBITDA increased 21% with 175 basis points of margin expansion.”
Drive growth in total gross bookings across B2B and B2C segments to capture market demand.
Stated as a priority in 7 of last 7 quarters. Total gross bookings increased from $30.4B in 2025-Q2 to $33.9B in 2026-Q2 (+12%), with B2B segment growing 21% over the same period. Management's focus on growing gross bookings is supported by consistent double-digit growth in bookings.
Maintain and increase quarterly dividends and execute share repurchase programs to return capital to shareholders.
Stated as a priority in 7 of last 7 quarters. Quarterly dividend increased from $0.40 in 2025-Q4 to $0.48 in 2026-Q2, with consistent share repurchases including 880 thousand shares for $200 million in 2026-Q2. Management is delivering on capital return commitments with steady dividend growth and active buybacks.
Use artificial intelligence as a force multiplier to accelerate innovation and improve operational efficiency.
Newly stated in 2026-Q2. Management highlighted AI as a key enabler for innovation and operational efficiency. While this is a recent priority, financial results show strong revenue and margin growth, but direct impact of AI initiatives is not yet quantifiable.
“Leveraging AI as a force multiplier to innovate faster and operate more efficiently.”
Maintain and increase shareholder returns through share repurchases and dividend payments.
Over the trailing year it converted -29.95x of net income into operating cash flow.
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity (low R² over the window).
17 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated volatile grew net income 59% of the time over the next year (vs 48% for the rest of the cohort, n=1937).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-09-04.
“Total Gross Bookings grew 12%, B2B Gross Bookings grew 21%.”
“Total gross bookings grew 13%, B2B gross bookings grew 22%.”
“Total gross bookings grew 11%, B2B gross bookings grew 24%.”
“Total gross bookings grew 12%, B2B gross bookings grew 26%.”
“Total gross bookings grew 5%, B2B gross bookings grew 17%.”
“Total gross bookings grew 4%, B2B gross bookings grew 14%.”
“Total gross bookings grew 13%, B2B gross bookings grew 24%.”
“Repurchased approximately 880 thousand shares for $200 million and declared quarterly dividend of $0.48 per share.”
“Repurchased approximately 3.3 million shares for $700 million and declared quarterly dividend of $0.48 per share.”
“Repurchased approximately 9 million shares for $1.7 billion and paid quarterly dividend of $0.40 per share.”
“Repurchased approximately 2.3 million shares for $451 million and paid quarterly dividend of $0.40 per share.”
“Repurchased approximately 3.8 million shares for $627 million and paid quarterly dividend of $0.40 per share.”
“Repurchased approximately 1.7 million shares for $330 million and paid quarterly dividend of $0.40 per share.”
“Repurchased over 12 million shares for $1.6 billion and declared quarterly dividend of $0.40 per share.”