Fossil Group Inc (FOSL)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - Footwear & AccessoriesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$5.15+0.39%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - Footwear & AccessoriesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · FOSL
How strong the business is — where it ranks within its sector on capital efficiency and cash generation, and how well management has been executing.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Deliver positive free cash flow for the full year 2026 as part of the turnaround plan and financial discipline.
Stated as a priority in 3 of last 3 quarters. Management raised full year 2026 outlook to positive free cash flow based on strong year-to-date results. Cash from operating activities improved from -$42.1M in 2025-Q3 to -$21.8M in 2026-Q1, indicating progress but free cash flow remains negative in recent quarters, showing mixed delivery.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated weak grew net income 56% of the time over the next year (vs 53% for the rest of the cohort, n=5213).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
“Strong business momentum enabling positive free cash flow generation in 2026.”
“Reiterates 2026 outlook including free cash flow break-even.”
“Free cash flow break-even expected for full year 2026.”
Sustain adjusted operating margin in the range of 4% to 6% for fiscal year 2026 as a key profitability target.
Stated as a priority in 3 of last 3 quarters. Adjusted operating margin guidance improved from break-even/slightly positive in 2025 to 4%-6% in 2026. Actual operating margin was 5.4% in 2026-Q1 but declined to 1.5% in 2026-Q2, showing mixed progress relative to target.
“Adjusted operating margin in the range of 4% to 6% for full year 2026.”
“Adjusted operating margin expected in the range of 3% to 5% for 2026.”
“Adjusted operating margin expected to be break even to slightly positive for 2025.”
Achieve a return to top line revenue growth in the fourth quarter of 2026 after prior declines.
Stated as a priority in 3 of last 3 quarters. Revenue declined from $270.2M in 2025-Q3 to $209.7M in 2026-Q2, consistent with guidance of mid-single-digit declines for 2026. Management expects a return to growth in Q4 2026, so trajectory is currently stagnant with a watch status.
“Worldwide net sales to decline 3% to 5%, with a return to growth in the fourth quarter.”
“Worldwide net sales to decline 4% to 6%, with a return to growth in the fourth quarter.”
“Worldwide net sales expected to decline in the mid-teens for 2025.”
Over the trailing year it converted 0.46x of net income into operating cash flow.
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, Fed net liquidity, long-term interest rates, real (inflation-adjusted) rates (low R² over the window).
16 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated neutral grew net income 48% of the time over the next year (vs 53% for the rest of the cohort, n=2538).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-09-04.