General Dynamics (GD)
NYSEIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-11-05
$356.35-2.34%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · GD
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -2.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 6.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 9.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 26 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
GD — CEO transition
Dated 2026-10-07
CEO — Danny Deep: The filing announces the planned internal promotion of the current President to CEO and the transition of the current CEO to Executive Chairman, which is an orderly succession rather than a sudden loss of leadership.
Why it matters: Management said it is investing to meet demand. Spending rose, so later results can show if cash generation stays strong.
Watch forQuarterly reports show revenue grew year over year in all four segments. Operating cash flow is above net earnings.
Also watch forQuarterly reports show revenue fell year over year in any segment. Operating cash flow is below net earnings.
Why it matters: Large submarine orders drove a sharp rise in defense orders. New backlog reports can show whether that demand is lasting.
Supportive ifThe next report shows backlog above $220.3 billion and defense book-to-bill above 1.0-to-1.
Worry ifThe next report shows backlog below $220.3 billion or defense book-to-bill below 1.0-to-1.
Why it matters: Marine Systems drove much of recent growth. Its third-quarter revenue rose 21.1%, while its margin reached 7.9%.
Supportive ifIn the next quarterly results, Marine Systems revenue grows year over year and its margin stays at or above 7.9%.
Worry ifIn the next quarterly results, Marine Systems revenue falls year over year or its margin drops below 7.0%.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$72 on $10,000 · ±0.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $217 loss on $10,000 · 2.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,791 loss on $10,000 · 17.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.