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GD

General Dynamics

NYSEIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-05-08

$346.53-0.35%
Close 2026-05-08 · 1-day change
The bottom line

As of May 8, 2026, GD has a composite score of 20.0 and a signal label of "mild favorable." This score is influenced by various factors, including a macro score of 30.0 and a management score of 53.8. The analysis is provisional, reflecting uncertainty in the current guidance and sector trends.

Composite +20as of 2026-05-08

Price

Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.

Close 2026-05-08
Daily closes. Scroll over the chart to zoom; click a range to reset.
EarningsMaterial event

Factor signals

Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.

L1

Thesis

is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?
F1 · Recent financial performance
neutral
Mid-cohort
Why this rank
  • Direction share
    1.00
  • Slope (norm)
    0.02
  • Bonus
    0.00
Operating income, last 4 quarters ($M)
1036130513311124
F2 · Value
neutral
Mid-cohort by earnings yield
Why this rank
Price
$346.53
TTM EPS
$13.45
Earnings yield
3.9%
P/E (TTM)
25.8

Trailing four: 2017-Q2, 2017-Q3, 2018-Q3, 2019-Q3

F3 · Earnings quality
fragile
Bottom 30% cash conversion in industrials cohort
Why this rank
TTM NI ($M)
3,782
TTM CFO ($M)
4,112
CFO/NI
1.09
L2

Watch

has something changed worth re-reading?
F4 · Management stability
neutral
Mid-cohort activity· see deep-dive ↓
neutral
Earnings setup · pre-print positioning
forward-looking
bullish strong16 analysts, 54% Buyfor period ending 2026-06-30
Why this setup
Consensus revisions

EPS estimate $3.88 → $3.94 (+1.7% / 30d). 6 raised, 4 cut, 16 covering analysts.

Rating actions

0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 3 maintained. 54% of analysts rate Buy.

Price target activity

2 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 18.5% above current price.

Material events

1 positive, 0 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.

F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
2

Stated priorities

Insufficient transcript history for this ticker.

3

Guidance track record

Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.

L3

Position context

how violent might the path be while I hold it?
Risk profile · realized
backward-looking
moderateworst 12m loss −15%, typical day ±0.8%
Why this risk level

Recent vol — 30d annualized 29%; 252d 21%.

Drawdown — Max 1y −15%. Bad day move −2%.

Beta to sector ETF (XLI) 0.62 over 1y.

Liquidity — score 100/100.

Sub-scores — vol 65/100, drawdown 71/100, beta 62/100, earnings vol .

Calm + bullish setup — clean pre-earnings positioning pattern.

Sector regime
headwind-7.8%sector vs S&P 500, 60d

via XLI

Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.

AI cycle regime · market-wide
2-axis classifier
HeatingManiaSquallCrisisEarnings →Mood ↑
HeatingE +0.13 · M +0.71
Single-axisCHASEz +2.97+1.285d

Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.

Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.

3

What changed

The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.

  1. No material changes since the prior snapshot.

No material changes since the prior snapshot.

as of 2026-05-08

4

Management scorecard

How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.

Composite53.8 / 100
Capital allocation34
Earnings discipline74
Margin discipline78
Balance sheet54
Guidance credibility
Post-call reaction45
as of 2026-05-08
4

What management is focused on

Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.

No qualifying priorities for this snapshot. Check back after the next refresh.

5

How this stock is priced

Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.

Compared to peers
69higher = cheaper

Roughly priced in line with peers.

Compared to its own history
45higher = cheaper

Around its own typical valuation.

P/E
21.9x
EV/EBITDA
FCF yield
6.5%

P/E over the last 5 years

71 monthly points
fairas of 2026-05-08
7

How this compares

A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.

StockCompositeValuationRisk
GD
General Dynamics
+20fairmoderate
CAT
Caterpillar Inc.
+13expensivemoderate
GE
GE Aerospace
+11expensivemoderate
GEV
GE Vernova
+10fullmoderate
RTX
RTX Corporation
+20fairmoderate
8

Risk — how this stock moves

What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.

A typical day
How much price usually moves either way.
0.8%
A bad day (95th %ile)
A rough but not unusual down day.
-1.8%
Worst 12-month loss
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
-14.5%
Earnings-day move
How much price usually moves on earnings day.
moderateas of 2026-05-08
9

What could change this view

Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.

Upside triggers
  • If industrials sector trend rises from +0.05 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
  • If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-04-29)+4.0 pts
Downside triggers
  • If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-04-29)-8.0 pts
  • If industrials sector trend falls from +0.05 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
  • If growth state reverses from +0.25 (positive) to -0.25 (negative)-4.0 pts
10

Material updates

Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.

  1. 2026-04-299d agoItem 2.02

    Results of Operations and Financial Condition On April 29, 2026, General Dynamics announced its financial results for the quarter ended April 5, 2026. A copy of the press release is being furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Form 8-K and is hereby incorporated by reference.

    earnings preannouncementpositivescore 58
  2. 2026-01-283mo agoItem 2.02

    Results of Operations and Financial Condition On January 28, 2026 , General Dynamics announced its financial results for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the press release is being furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Form 8-K and is hereby incorporated by reference.

    earnings preannouncementneutralscore 6
  3. 2025-12-055mo agoItem 5.02

    Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Danny Deep, currently executive vice president, Global Operations of General Dynamics Corporation (the “company”), has been promoted to president of the company, effective December 3, 2025. Mr. Deep has been with the company for over 20 years. Prior to his role as executive vice president, Global Operations, he held various operating roles with the…

    executive changeneutralscore 2
  4. 2025-12-055mo agoItem 5.02

    Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On December 3, 2025, William A. Moss informed General Dynamics Corporation (the “company”) of his intent to retire from his position as vice president and controller of the company, effective March 31, 2026. Dana O. Maisano, currently Staff Vice President, Controller and Financial Planning and Analysis of the company’s General Dynamics Information…

    executive changeneutralscore 2
  5. 2025-06-0911mo agoItem 5.02

    Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On June 4, 2025, General Dynamics Corporation (the “company”) announced that Danny Deep, currently executive vice president, Combat Systems, has been promoted to executive vice president, Global Operations. The company also determined the compensation arrangement for Mr. Deep’s new position. His base salary will be $1,200,000. His target annual inc…

    executive changeneutralscore 0
11

Score history

The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.

60 snapshots
Data freshness · As of 2026-05-08 · Macro 2026-05-08 · Sector 2026-05-07 · Fundamentals 2026-01-30 · Price 2026-05-07 · Generated 2026-05-08 · Spec 2.3

Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.