Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (HCC)
NYSEMaterialsCoalSnapshot 2026-09-04
$104.45+1.14%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEMaterialsCoalSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · HCC
How strong the business is — where it ranks within its sector on capital efficiency and cash generation, and how well management has been executing.
How this business ranks within materials on a research-validated quality screen. As of 2026-09-04.
The screen ranks HCC against its sector on four durable signals: share dilution, return on capital, free-cash-flow yield, and FCF margin. Historically the highest-quality names tended toward better typical outcomes and fewer bad years over multi-year holds (strongest at three years, modest at one), and that pattern showed up even before the price moved. It characterizes business quality, not price direction.
Each leg is a sector-relative percentile (higher is better); 4 of 4 legs were available for this name. The composite is built from these four; the raw value follows each percentile for context.
A forward quality tilt, not a price prediction, and context for your own research rather than a recommendation. Not investment advice.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 3 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Materials names rated strong grew net income 61% of the time over the next year (vs 47% for the rest of the cohort, n=1943).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Continue to grow sales and production volumes, driven by Blue Creek mine ramp-up and operational excellence.
Stated as a priority in 4 of last 4 quarters. Sales volumes grew from 2.9 million short tons in 2025-Q4 to 3.7 million short tons in 2026-Q2, a 27.6% increase, driven by Blue Creek mine ramp-up. Production volumes increased from 2.1 million to 3.3 million short tons over the same period. Management is delivering on volume growth as planned.
“Achieved record quarterly sales volumes for the fourth consecutive quarter of 3.7 million short tons”
“Sales volumes in the first quarter of 2026 were a record 3.0 million short tons”
“Achieved record quarterly sales volumes of 2.9 million short tons”
“Record sales volumes driven by Blue Creek longwall operations ramp-up”
Focus on lowering cash cost of sales per short ton through operational efficiencies and benefits from Blue Creek mine.
Stated as a priority in 4 of last 4 quarters. Cash cost of sales per short ton decreased from $119.55 in 2024-Q4 to $92.53 in 2026-Q2, reflecting improved cost structure mainly due to Blue Creek. The trajectory shows delivering on cost reduction commitments.
Focus on generating significant free cash flow and maintaining strong liquidity following Blue Creek project completion.
Stated as a priority in 3 of last 4 quarters. Free cash flow improved from negative $91.9 million in 2026-Q1 to positive $103.4 million in 2026-Q2, reflecting lower capital spending post Blue Creek completion and higher operating cash flow. The trajectory is delivering on free cash flow generation and balance sheet strength.
Finish construction and development of Blue Creek mine within budget and ahead of schedule to enable operational ramp-up.
Stated as a priority in 3 of last 4 quarters. Blue Creek mine construction completed ahead of schedule and on budget with total project spending of $1,022.9 million by 2026-Q1. The operational ramp-up following completion supports management's delivery on this priority.
Continue paying a regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.08 per share to stockholders.
Stated as a priority in 4 of last 4 quarters. The Board consistently declared and paid a regular quarterly dividend of $0.08 per share. This reflects management's ongoing commitment to returning capital to shareholders.
“Board declared a regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.08 per share”
Over the trailing year it converted 1.06x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Materials names rated neutral grew net income 49% of the time over the next year (vs 50% for the rest of the cohort, n=1862).
Not enough signal yet.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, the broad stock market, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity (low R² over the window).
6 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Materials names rated stable grew net income 51% of the time over the next year (vs 50% for the rest of the cohort, n=709).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-09-04.
“Cash cost of sales per short ton decreased by 9% to $92.53”
“Cash cost of sales per short ton decreased to $96.17 from $112.35 in prior year”
“Cash cost of sales per short ton decreased to $93.53 from $119.55 in prior year”
“Cash cost of sales per short ton decreased driven by Blue Creek's lower cost structure”
“Generated more than $103 million of free cash flow”
“Free cash flows in the first quarter of 2026 were negative $91.9 million”
“Free cash flows in the fourth quarter of 2025 were negative $28.3 million”
“Completed construction of the Blue Creek mine with a final investment of $66.1 million”
“Commissioning of Blue Creek longwall operations began in October eight months ahead of schedule and on budget”
“Blue Creek longwall operations ramped steadily toward full production”
“Board declared a regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.08 per share”
“Board declared a regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.08 per share”
“Paid a regular quarterly dividend of $0.08 per share”