Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (HCC)
NYSEMaterialsCoalSnapshot 2026-11-04
$80.92+0.32%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEMaterialsCoalSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · HCC
How strong the business is — where it ranks within its sector on capital efficiency and cash generation, and how well management has been executing.
How this business ranks within materials on a research-validated quality screen. As of 2026-11-04.
The screen ranks HCC against its sector on four durable signals: share dilution, return on capital, free-cash-flow yield, and FCF margin. Historically the highest-quality names tended toward better typical outcomes and fewer bad years over multi-year holds (strongest at three years, modest at one), and that pattern showed up even before the price moved. It characterizes business quality, not price direction.
Each leg is a sector-relative percentile (higher is better); 4 of 4 legs were available for this name. The composite is built from these four; the raw value follows each percentile for context.
A forward quality tilt, not a price prediction, and context for your own research rather than a recommendation. Not investment advice.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 3 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Materials names rated strong grew net income 63% of the time over the next year (vs 47% for the rest of the cohort, n=1960).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
“Higher volumes and improved pricing generated significant free cash flow and further strengthened our balance sheet, in line with our priorities for the next phase of our growth strategy.
Stated in 3 of 4 supplied quarters. Management reported: ““Higher volumes and improved pricing generated significant free cash flow and further strengthened our balance sheet, in line with our priorities for the next phase of our growth strategy.” “In summary, with Blue Creek operational and our development spending complete, this second quarter marked the start of the next phase of Warrior's growth, which is focused on free cash flow generation, balance sheet strength and long-term stockholder returns,” Mr. Scheller concluded.” Operating income was $50.794 million in 2026-Q3.
““Higher volumes and improved pricing generated significant free cash flow and further strengthened our balance sheet, in line with our priorities for the next phase of our growth strategy.”
“In summary, with Blue Creek operational and our development spending complete, this second quarter marked the start of the next phase of Warrior's growth, which is focused on free cash flow generatio…”
““Blue Creek is already making a meaningful contribution to our financial performance with its volumes a key driver of record sales volume during the first quarter and its lower cost structure a criti…”
“Higher volumes and improved pricing generated significant free cash flow and further strengthened our balance sheet, in line with our priorities for the next phase of our growth strategy.
Stated in 4 of 4 supplied quarters. Management reported: “The mining plans for these leases, which were approved in the first quarter of 2026, authorize development and mining activities across approximately 14,050 acres in Tuscaloosa County, Alabama, which contain approximately 53 million short tons of reserves, further strengthening the resource base underpinning our strategic growth initiatives.” “4. Company Outlook Warrior expects 2026 to reflect a substantial step-change in production and sales volumes, driven by Blue Creek operating for the full year and continued operational excellence at Mines No.” Revenue was $507.928 million in 2026-Q3.
“Higher volumes and improved pricing generated significant free cash flow and further strengthened our balance sheet, in line with our priorities for the next phase of our growth strategy.
Stated in 4 of 4 supplied quarters. Management reported: “4. Company Outlook Warrior expects 2026 to reflect a substantial step-change in production and sales volumes, driven by Blue Creek operating for the full year and continued operational excellence at Mines No.” “4 and 7. While volumes are expected to be higher, the Company anticipates a continued challenging pricing environment given weak demand, record high Chinese steel exports and ample global supply, particularly in the High Vol A quality tier.”
“Higher volumes and improved pricing generated significant free cash flow and further strengthened our balance sheet, in line with our priorities for the next phase of our growth strategy.
Stated in 4 of 4 supplied quarters. Management reported: “4. Company Outlook Warrior expects 2026 to reflect a substantial step-change in production and sales volumes, driven by Blue Creek operating for the full year and continued operational excellence at Mines No.” “4 and 7. While volumes are expected to be higher, the Company anticipates a continued challenging pricing environment given weak demand, record high Chinese steel exports and ample global supply, particularly in the High Vol A quality tier.”
Capital Allocation On July 28, 2026, the Board declared a regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.08 per share, which the Company plans to distribute on August 17, 2026, to stockholders of record as of…
Over the trailing year it converted 1.06x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Materials names rated neutral grew net income 50% of the time over the next year (vs 51% for the rest of the cohort, n=1899).
Not enough signal yet.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, the broad stock market, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity (low R² over the window).
6 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by capital-allocation actions. Historically, Materials names rated stable grew net income 57% of the time over the next year (vs 51% for the rest of the cohort, n=1843).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-11-04.
““Higher volumes and improved pricing generated significant free cash flow and further strengthened our balance sheet, in line with our priorities for the next phase of our growth strategy.”
“Company Outlook The Company raised its volume guidance by 0.5 million short tons for the full year 2026 after continued positive reception of Blue Creek volume trials and adoption by customers.”
“Sales and production volumes were ahead of budget for the first quarter and remain on track with Warrior's outlook and guidance for the full year 2026.”
“4. Company Outlook Warrior expects 2026 to reflect a substantial step-change in production and sales volumes, driven by Blue Creek operating for the full year and continued operational excellence at…”
““Higher volumes and improved pricing generated significant free cash flow and further strengthened our balance sheet, in line with our priorities for the next phase of our growth strategy.”
“In summary, with Blue Creek operational and our development spending complete, this second quarter marked the start of the next phase of Warrior's growth, which is focused on free cash flow generatio…”
““The first quarter marked a defining milestone for Warrior as we completed the final project spending for the development of our transformational Blue Creek mine, delivering the project ahead of sche…”
“Fourth Quarter Highlights • Commissioning of the Blue Creek longwall operations began in October eight months ahead of schedule and on budget; • Achieved record quarterly sales volumes of 2.9 million…”
““Higher volumes and improved pricing generated significant free cash flow and further strengthened our balance sheet, in line with our priorities for the next phase of our growth strategy.”
“In summary, with Blue Creek operational and our development spending complete, this second quarter marked the start of the next phase of Warrior's growth, which is focused on free cash flow generatio…”
““Blue Creek is already making a meaningful contribution to our financial performance with its volumes a key driver of record sales volume during the first quarter and its lower cost structure a criti…”
“Fourth Quarter Highlights • Commissioning of the Blue Creek longwall operations began in October eight months ahead of schedule and on budget; • Achieved record quarterly sales volumes of 2.9 million…”