HRL
Hormel FoodsNYSEConsumer StaplesPackaged FoodsSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, HRL has a composite score of 19.9 and a signal label of "mild favorable." This score is influenced by a medium confidence level of 76.1, with notable strengths in valuation (78.4) and quality (73.2). However, the score is provisional and reflects various macroeconomic factors, including labor, inflation, rates, and growth.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share1.00
- Slope (norm)-0.14
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $0.37 → $0.37 (-0.8% / 30d). 0 raised, 1 cut, 7 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 1 downgrade / 30d, 0 maintained. 30% of analysts rate Buy.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
4 material events in the last 24 months — top 4 listed below.
Stated priorities
Insufficient transcript history for this ticker.
Guidance track record
Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 23%; 252d 27%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −32%. Bad day move −2%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLP) — 1.12 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 54/100, drawdown 36/100, beta 88/100, earnings vol —.
via XLP
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- No material changes since the prior snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
No qualifying priorities for this snapshot. Check back after the next refresh.
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Roughly priced in line with peers.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
71 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
HRL Hormel Foods | +20 | inexpensive | moderate |
WMT Walmart | -9.3 | expensive | low |
COST Costco | +3.9 | expensive | moderate |
PG Procter & Gamble | +15 | fair | low |
KO Coca-Cola Company (The) | +14 | full | low |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If consumer_staples sector trend rises from +0.05 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-02-26)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-02-26)-8.0 pts
- If labor state reverses from -0.31 (negative) to +0.31 (positive)-6.2 pts
- If consumer_staples sector trend falls from +0.05 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-02-252mo agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On February 26, 2026, Hormel Foods Corporation (the Company) issued an earnings release announcing its financial results for the first quarter ended January 25, 2026. A copy of the earnings release is furnished as Exhibit 99 to this Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. Section 9 – FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AND EXHIBITS
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 13 - 2026-02-132mo agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers . This Form 8-K/A amends the Form 8-K filed by Hormel Foods Corporation (the “Company”) on October 29, 2025, as previously amended on October 31, 2025 (the “Prior 8-K”). As disclosed in the Prior 8-K, Ms. Jacinth Smiley ceased serving as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of the Company, effective October 26, 2025. Ms. Smiley’s las…
executive changeneutralscore 11 - 2026-02-182mo agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition . On February 17, 2026, Hormel Foods Corporation (the “Company”) issued a press release that included certain preliminary results for the first quarter ended January 25, 2026, and provided information regarding the Company’s guidance for its 2026 fiscal year. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference.
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 10 - 2026-02-023mo agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers . Adoption of 2026 Equity and Incentive Compensation Plan On January 27, 2026, Hormel Foods Corporation (the “Company”) held its 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders (the “Annual Meeting”). At the Annual Meeting, the Company’s stockholders approved the Hormel Foods Corporation 2026 Equity and Incentive Compensation Plan (the “2026 Plan”), which succe…
executive changeneutralscore 6 - 2025-12-035mo agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On December 4, 2025, the Company issued an earnings release announcing its financial results for the fourth quarter ended October 26, 2025. A copy of the earnings release is furnished as Exhibit 99 to this Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. Section 9 – FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AND EXHIBITS
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 2
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.