Henry Schein (HSIC)
NASDAQHealth CareMedical - DistributionSnapshot 2026-11-05
$85.31-3.32%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQHealth CareMedical - DistributionSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · HSIC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -12.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 4.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market and long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 16.1 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 2 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
HSIC — CFO transition
Dated 2026-10-08
CFO — Emmanuel Caprais: The filing announces a planned CFO transition where the outgoing CFO moves to an advisor role and a new external CFO is appointed, representing an orderly succession rather than a sudden loss of leadership.
Why it matters: Management set a $125 million run-rate goal for 2026. Progress would show that its cost plan is working.
Supportive ifHSIC reports a value-plan run rate of at least $125 million by December 31, 2026. Its goal is over $200 million in operating income gains.
Worry ifHSIC reports a run rate below $125 million by December 31, 2026, or cuts the goal of over $200 million.
Why it matters: Q2 Adjusted EBITDA rose 12.5% from a year ago. The next report tests whether gains continue.
Supportive ifQ3 Adjusted EBITDA is above the year-ago quarter. HSIC keeps its 2026 growth range of mid- to high-single digits.
Worry ifQ3 Adjusted EBITDA is below the year-ago quarter. Or HSIC cuts its 2026 growth range below mid-single digits.
Why it matters: Q2 sales grew 6.7%, and management raised its full-year sales range. Q3 results test whether that pace can hold.
Supportive ifOn November 3, HSIC reports Q3 sales growth of at least 4.5% and keeps full-year sales guidance at 4.5%–5.5% or higher.
Worry ifQ3 sales growth is below 4.5%, or management cuts its full-year sales range below 4.5%.
Why it matters: The CFO change is planned, but the new leader will take charge of year-end reporting. Watch for steady guidance and clear reporting.
Watch forThe new CFO keeps the 2026 EPS range at $5.29–$5.39 and sales growth at 4.5%–5.5%, with no further change.
Also watch forThe new CFO cuts either range, or the company reports a delay or problem with the transition.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$86 on $10,000 · ±0.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $263 loss on $10,000 · 2.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,723 loss on $10,000 · 17.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.