Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP)
NASDAQConsumer StaplesBeverages - Non-alcoholicSnapshot 2026-11-04
$36.89+0.27%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer StaplesBeverages - Non-alcoholicSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · KDP
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 2.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 40.8% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 37.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 3 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
KDP — dividend update
Dated 2026-09-16
Other Events. On September 16, 2026 , Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing that its Board of Directors has declared a regular quarterly dividend of $0.23 per share, payable in U.S. dollars, on the Company’s common stock. The regular quarterly dividend will be paid on October 9, 2026, to shareholders of record on September 28, 2026.
Why it matters: KDP says it is preparing to separate its beverage and coffee businesses in early 2027. Delays or extra costs could weaken that plan.
Watch forKDP names key steps it has finished. It keeps the separation on track for early 2027, without citing major extra costs.
Also watch forKDP delays the early 2027 separation or reports major added costs or setbacks.
Why it matters: KDP reports on November 3. Its full-year outlook calls for $25.9–$26.4 billion in sales and low-double-digit adjusted EPS growth.
Watch forQ3 results keep KDP on track for $25.9–$26.4 billion in 2026 sales and low-double-digit adjusted EPS growth.
Also watch forKDP cuts its 2026 sales outlook below $25.9 billion or its adjusted EPS growth outlook below low double digits.
Why it matters: U.S. Coffee sales fell 3.2% in Q2 as volume and mix fell 8.2%. A smaller drop would ease pressure on this business.
Watch forQ3 U.S. Coffee volume and mix fall less than 8.2% year over year, and adjusted operating income improves from Q2’s $225 million.
Also watch forQ3 U.S. Coffee volume and mix fall 8.2% or more year over year, or adjusted operating income drops below $225 million.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$124 on $10,000 · ±1.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $240 loss on $10,000 · 2.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,772 loss on $10,000 · 17.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.