Modiv Industrial, Inc. (MDV)
NYSEReal EstateReit - IndustrialSnapshot 2026-09-04
$18.05-0.88%
Close 2026-08-11 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - IndustrialSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · MDV
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 0 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $18 MDV trades at 10× p/ffo, below its 13× p/ffo peer median, but our blended $16 fair value sits below the price. It's a high-confidence read. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $18.31 | 15.6 | 1.17 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FFO | 12M | $22.53 | 13.0 | 1.73 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $13.78 | 3.8 | 3.60 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $9.81 | 13.0 | 0.76 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FFO |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 10% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Only a turbulent sector regime (Heating) — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Not enough peers to compare yet.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| 3Y |
| $30.67 |
| 13.0 |
| 2.36 |
| Hist. CAGR(prov.) |
| medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $15.23 | 3.8 | 3.98 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FFO | 5Y | $37.67 | 13.0 | 2.90 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $16.23 | 3.8 | 4.24 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |