McGraw Hill, Inc. (MH)
NYSEConsumer StaplesEducation & Training ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$13.31+0.60%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer StaplesEducation & Training ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · MH
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 8 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-06. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $13 MH trades at 5.2× p/e, below its 17× p/e peer median. Our $21 fair value sits well above the price. We hold it with low confidence: our number sits above the analyst range and the peer anchor overstates how cheap it looks. Analysts target $14–$19. Note: our $21 fair value sits above the entire analyst range ($14–$19). Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $16.50 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| graham number | 12M | $15.41 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $33.99 | 11.8 | 3.96 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $29.29 | 15.6 | 1.88 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Bottom 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$14.00 – $19.00 (median $16.50) · 10 analysts · as of 2026-08-14
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2, 2026-Q3, 2027-Q1
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| 12M |
| $31.53 |
| 15.6 |
| 2.02 |
| ntm analyst |
| high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $9.45 | 0.9 | 11.07 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $12.89 | — | — | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $46.36 | 16.8 | 2.76 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $44.55 | 15.6 | 2.85 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $32.38 | 15.6 | 2.07 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $10.25 | 0.9 | 12.01 | guidance | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $58.91 | 15.6 | 3.77 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $33.24 | 15.6 | 2.13 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $10.52 | 0.9 | 12.33 | guidance | medium |