Martin Marietta Materials (MLM)
NYSEMaterialsConstruction MaterialsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$556.56+2.35%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEMaterialsConstruction MaterialsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · MLM
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 36.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 36.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market and long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 0.1 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 18 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
MLM — credit agreement
Dated 2026-08-18
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement On August 18, 2026, Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. (the “Corporation”) entered into a Credit Agreement with JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A. (“JPMCB”), as administrative agent, and the lenders and issuing lenders party thereto (the “Credit Agreement”), which provides for a $1,500,000,000 five-year senior unsecured revolving facility (the “Revolving Facility”). Borrowings under the Revolving Facility bear interest, at the Corporation’s option, at rates base…
Why it matters: The deal adds a large lime business and uses new debt and shares. Closing and early results will show how the combination is progressing.
Watch forA company filing confirms the Lhoist deal has closed, with no new delay or change to the announced terms.
Also watch forA company filing reports a delay, a material change to the deal terms, or that the deal will not close.
Why it matters: The sector has been shrinking, though recent data hints at a change. Positive revenue growth would support a better demand backdrop.
Supportive ifThe sector's three-year revenue growth turns positive in the reported sector data.
Worry ifThe sector's three-year revenue growth stays near or below minus 1%.
Why it matters: The plan rests on asset changes, lower spending, and tighter inventory control. Cash from operations fell year over year in the first half.
Watch forA later company report shows cash from operations rising from the prior year. More than $200 million in cash savings continues.
Also watch forA later company report shows cash from operations still below last year's level. It also shows no clear progress toward $350 million in annual cash benefits.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$133 on $10,000 · ±1.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $311 loss on $10,000 · 3.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,339 loss on $10,000 · 33.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.