Monster Beverage (MNST)
NASDAQConsumer StaplesBeverages - Non-alcoholicSnapshot 2026-09-04
$43.82-0.59%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer StaplesBeverages - Non-alcoholicSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · MNST
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -35.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 11.8% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 46.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 8 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
MNST — director transition
Dated 2026-06-04
director — Mark J. Hall: Mr. Hall is resigning as a director and employee, not due to any disagreement.
Why it matters: A drop in gross profit margin may mean rising costs or pricing pressures.
Worry ifGross profit margin was below 55%. This signals possible cost problems.
Less concerning ifGross profit margin is at or above 55%. This shows stable cost management.
Why it matters: If the company starts buying back shares, it shows management believes in its value.
Supportive ifThere is an announcement of share repurchases in the open market or other ways.
Worry ifNo share repurchase activity was announced. This may show caution from management.
Why it matters: A decline in gross profit margin could indicate rising costs or pricing pressures.
Worry ifQ3 gross profit margin falls below 55%.
Less concerning ifQ3 gross profit margin remains at or above 55%.
Why it matters: Strong international growth would help Monster's plan and show good market growth.
Supportive ifInternational sales grew more than 30% from last year.
Worry ifInternational sales growth under 20% may mean the market is full.
Why it matters: Share buybacks can boost stock value and show confidence in the company. Ongoing buybacks signal strong capital management.
Supportive ifThe company buys back at least $100 million worth of shares in Q2.
Worry ifNo share repurchases occur in Q2.
Why it matters: A slowdown in sales growth could signal weakening demand or market share loss. Investors will monitor this closely.
Worry ifQ3 net sales growth comes in below 20%.
Less concerning ifQ3 net sales growth exceeds 20%.
Why it matters: Updates on share buybacks show management's trust in the company's value and future.
Supportive ifThey will announce share buybacks of at least $100 million in the next quarter.
Worry ifNo share buybacks announced or a cut in the buyback plan.
Why it matters: New product launches can boost sales and attract more customers.
Supportive ifAnnouncement of at least two new product launches in Q3.
Worry ifNo new product launches announced in Q3.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$98 on $10,000 · ±1.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $247 loss on $10,000 · 2.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,770 loss on $10,000 · 17.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.