Monster Beverage (MNST)
NASDAQConsumer StaplesBeverages - Non-alcoholicSnapshot 2026-11-05
$47.83-1.89%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer StaplesBeverages - Non-alcoholicSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · MNST
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -16.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 13.8% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 30.6 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 5 industry peers
MNST — earnings in line
Dated 2026-11-05
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On November 5, 2026, Monster Beverage Corporation (the “Company”) issued a press release relating to its financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2026, a copy of which is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 hereto. The press release did not include certain financial statements, related footnotes and certain other financial information that will be filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission as part of the Company’s Quarterly Report…
Why it matters: Q2 gross margin was 55.9%, helped by pricing and product mix. Higher can and freight costs weighed on results earlier in 2026.
Watch forQ3 gross margin is at least 55.9%, showing pricing and product mix offset higher costs.
Also watch forQ3 gross margin falls below 55.9%, showing higher costs or sales mix outweighed those gains.
Why it matters: Operating costs rose to 26.8% of sales in Q2 from 25.8% a year earlier. A lower share would ease pressure on operating income.
Supportive ifQ3 operating costs are below 26.8% of sales.
Worry ifQ3 operating costs are 26.8% of sales or higher.
Why it matters: The company had $900 million left under its repurchase programs as of August 5, but bought no shares in Q2.
Watch forThe Q3 filing shows share repurchases and a balance below the $900 million reported on August 5.
Also watch forThe Q3 filing reports no share repurchases and the remaining balance stays near $900 million or rises.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$103 on $10,000 · ±1.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $242 loss on $10,000 · 2.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,770 loss on $10,000 · 17.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.