MNST
Monster BeverageNASDAQConsumer StaplesBeverages - Non-alcoholicSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, MNST has a composite score of 9.9 and a signal label of "mixed." The company momentum score increased by 20.8 points to 29.5, contributing positively to the overall assessment. However, the current analysis is provisional, and several unfavorable scenarios, such as potential guidance cuts and labor state reversals, could impact future estimates.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share1.00
- Slope (norm)-0.28
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2010-Q2, 2010-Q3, 2011-Q1, 2011-Q2
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $0.57 → $0.57 (-0.8% / 30d). 0 raised, 2 cut, 8 covering analysts.
1 upgrade, 0 downgrades / 30d, 6 maintained. 56% of analysts rate Buy.
3 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 14.1% above current price.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
1 material event in the last 24 months — top 1 listed below.
Stated priorities
Insufficient transcript history for this ticker.
Guidance track record
Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 44%; 252d 26%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −18%. Bad day move −2%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLP) — 0.91 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 57/100, drawdown 65/100, beta 91/100, earnings vol —.
via XLP
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- score change · company_momentum_scoreseverity 35
Company momentum rose by 20.8 points (from 8.7 to 29.5).
As of 2026-05-08, the company momentum score for MNST rose by 20.8 points, increasing from 8.7 to 29.5. The overall signal transitioned to "mixed." The forward view indicates an unfavorable scenario if next-quarter guidance is cut, and another unfavorable scenario if the labor state reverses from negative to positive. There are also favorable scenarios if the consumer staples sector trend improves or if next-quarter guidance is raised.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
Met or beat guidance 100% of the last 2 guided quarters · 2.0% avg surprise
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
No qualifying priorities for this snapshot. Check back after the next refresh.
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Around its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
71 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
MNST Monster Beverage | +9.9 | expensive | low |
WMT Walmart | -9.3 | expensive | low |
COST Costco | +3.9 | expensive | moderate |
PG Procter & Gamble | +15 | fair | low |
KO Coca-Cola Company (The) | +14 | full | low |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If consumer_staples sector trend rises from +0.05 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2025-08-07)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2025-08-07)-8.0 pts
- If labor state reverses from -0.31 (negative) to +0.31 (positive)-6.2 pts
- If consumer_staples sector trend falls from +0.05 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-05-071d agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 7, 2026, Monster Beverage Corporation (the “Company”) issued a press release relating to its financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026, a copy of which is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 hereto. The press release did not include certain financial statements, related footnotes and certain other financial information that will be filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission as part of the Company’s Quarterly Report on Form…
earnings preannouncement—score 64 - 2026-02-262mo agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On February 26, 2026, Monster Beverage Corporation (the “Company”) issued a press release relating to its financial results for the fourth quarter and full-year ended December 31, 2025, a copy of which is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 hereto. The press release did not include certain financial statements, related footnotes and certain other financial information that will be filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission as part of the Company’s A…
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 13
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.