Monster Beverage (MNST)
NASDAQConsumer StaplesBeverages - Non-alcoholicSnapshot 2026-09-04
$43.82-0.59%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer StaplesBeverages - Non-alcoholicSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · MNST
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $44 MNST trades at 20× p/e, in line with its 17× p/e peer median — but our blended $68 fair value sits well above the price. We hold it with low confidence: our number sits well below the analyst range. Analysts target $95–$105. Note: our $68 fair value sits below the entire analyst range ($95–$105). Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $99.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $66.59 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $68.81 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| graham number | 12M | $21.80 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 10% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$95.00 – $105.00 (median $99.00) · 10 analysts · as of 2026-08-10
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
At today's price you pay about 33% over what the business is worth with no growth; closing that gap needs roughly 4.0 years of the forecast growth to come through. These describe the expectations embedded in the price, not a forecast of the move. Reverse-DCF base: $1.88/sh owner earnings.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2010-Q2, 2010-Q3, 2011-Q1, 2011-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| 12M |
| $31.13 |
| 11.7 |
| 2.47 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $33.77 | 15.9 | 2.12 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $19.95 | 15.8 | 1.26 | ntm analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $7.96 | 0.9 | 9.33 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $15.09 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $96.01 | 43.1 | 2.23 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $36.87 | 16.8 | 2.19 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $51.36 | 15.9 | 3.23 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $41.86 | 15.8 | 2.65 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $11.21 | 0.9 | 13.14 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $28.81 | 43.1 | 0.67 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $67.92 | 15.9 | 4.27 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $52.32 | 15.8 | 3.31 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $14.01 | 0.9 | 16.42 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $12.91 | 43.1 | 0.30 | Analyst | medium |