Realty Income (O)
NYSEReal EstateReit - RetailSnapshot 2026-11-04
$59.22+2.99%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - RetailSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · O
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -7.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -2.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the US dollar and real (inflation-adjusted) rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 4.6 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 16 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
O — credit agreement
Dated 2026-08-25
Other Events. On August 20, 2026, Realty Income Corporation (the “Company”) entered into (i) that certain Second Amendment to Amended and Restated Term Loan Agreement (the “Wells Fargo Term Loan Agreement Amendment”) which amends its Amended and Restated Term Loan Agreement, dated as of January 22, 2024, among the Company, as Borrower, the lenders party thereto, Wells Fargo Bank, National Association, as Administrative Agent, and the other parties named therein (as amended, the “Wells Fargo T…
Why it matters: Q2 AFFO per share rose 3.8% to $1.09. A higher Q3 result would support the raised full-year forecast of $4.44 to $4.45.
Supportive ifThe November 2, 2026 results show Q3 AFFO per share above $1.09 and keep 2026 guidance at $4.44 or higher.
Worry ifQ3 AFFO per share is $1.09 or less, or 2026 AFFO guidance falls below $4.44.
Why it matters: The annual dividend was $3.252 per share, while Q2 AFFO was $1.09 per share. Growth above the dividend increase would support the cash cushion.
Watch forThe next dividend increase is at least 3.8% year over year, matching or beating Q2 AFFO per-share growth.
Also watch forThe next dividend increase is below 3.8% year over year while AFFO per-share growth also falls below 3.8%.
Why it matters: The venture adds a new growth channel beyond the core property business. Its closing and disclosed terms will show whether that plan moves ahead.
Supportive ifRealty Income reports the $6 billion data center joint venture has closed. It gives its share of the investment.
Worry ifRealty Income reports the venture was canceled, delayed, or cut below $6 billion.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$69 on $10,000 · ±0.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $165 loss on $10,000 · 1.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,068 loss on $10,000 · 20.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.