Ollie's Bargain Outlet (OLLI)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryDiscount StoresSnapshot 2026-09-04
$76.57+3.91%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryDiscount StoresSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · OLLI
How strong the business is — where it ranks within its sector on capital efficiency and cash generation, and how well management has been executing.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Continue to grow net sales through new store openings and comparable store sales to reach near $3 billion in fiscal 2026.
Stated as a priority in 4 of last 4 quarters. Net sales guidance for fiscal 2026 was initially $2.985 to $3.013 billion and updated down slightly to $2.928 to $2.941 billion in 2026-Q3, reflecting recent sales trends. Fiscal 2025 revenue was $2.649 billion. The trajectory shows growth toward the $3 billion target but with a modest downward revision recently, indicating delivering with some adjustment.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 2 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated strong grew net income 63% of the time over the next year (vs 50% for the rest of the cohort, n=5213).
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
“Updating Outlook for Fiscal 2026: Net sales $2.928 to $2.941 billion”
“Raising Fiscal 2026 Earnings Per Share Outlook: Net sales $2.980 to $3.000 billion”
“Initial outlook for fiscal year 2026: Net sales $2.985 to $3.013 billion”
“Initial outlook for fiscal year 2026: Net sales $2.985 to $3.013 billion”
Raise earnings per share outlook for fiscal 2026 to approximately $4.5 through operational execution and margin management.
Stated as a priority in 4 of last 4 quarters. Adjusted net income per diluted share guidance increased from $4.40-$4.50 in early 2026 to $4.57-$4.65 in 2026-Q3. Fiscal 2025 adjusted EPS was $3.86. The trajectory shows consistent raising of EPS outlook, indicating delivering progress on earnings growth.
“Adjusted net income per diluted share $4.57 to $4.65”
“Raising Fiscal 2026 Earnings Per Share Outlook: $4.45 to $4.55”
“Adjusted net income per diluted share $4.40 to $4.50”
“Adjusted net income per diluted share $4.40 to $4.50”
Sustain gross margin around 40.5% through supply chain efficiencies and pricing strategies.
Stated as a priority in 4 of last 4 quarters. Gross margin guidance for fiscal 2026 has been around 40.5%, with a slight increase to 41.3% in 2026-Q3. Actual gross margin in 2026-Q3 second quarter was 43.5%, boosted by tariff refunds. The trajectory shows maintaining or modestly improving gross margin, delivering on the priority.
“Gross margin ~41.3%, updated from prior ~40.7%”
“Gross margin ~40.7%”
“Gross margin ~40.5%”
“Gross margin ~40.5%”
Continue expansion by opening about 75 new stores in fiscal 2026 to drive growth.
Stated as a priority in 3 of last 3 quarters. The company plans to open 75 new stores in fiscal 2026, with 27 stores opened in 2026-Q2 and 15 in 2026-Q3. The trajectory shows active execution on store expansion consistent with the stated target.
“Opened 15 new stores, plan 75 new store openings in fiscal 2026”
“Opened 27 new stores, plan 75 new store openings in fiscal 2026”
“Plan 75 new store openings in fiscal 2026”
Continue share repurchase program with increased authorization and execution to return capital to shareholders.
Stated as a priority in 3 of last 3 quarters. Share repurchases increased from $53.4 million in 2026-Q2 to $83.96 million in 2026-Q3, with $121.5 million remaining authorized. The trajectory shows active and increasing execution of the share repurchase program.
“Repurchased $83.96 million of shares in second quarter 2026”
“Repurchased $53.4 million of shares in first quarter 2026”
“Returned $53 million to shareholders through share repurchases in first quarter”
Over the trailing year it converted 1.12x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated neutral grew net income 49% of the time over the next year (vs 49% for the rest of the cohort, n=4864).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity (low R² over the window).
4 material management or governance events in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Consumer Discretionary names rated stable grew net income 47% of the time over the next year (vs 53% for the rest of the cohort, n=1906).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-09-04.