OneSpan, Inc. (OSPN)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-11-04
$23.66-3.23%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-11-04
Research Workspace
Put OSPN beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Systems Software: fringe margins under pressure (2q confirmed)
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
The reason to own it still holds.
View ThesisRevenue is growing steadily — about 5% over the past year.
View GrowthManagement screens strong on capital allocation.
View ManagementExpectations look high — the market is pricing in about 26% growth a year, above the roughly 3% analysts expect, leaving little room for error.
View ValuationThis stock is volatile — it swings about 2% on a typical day and fell roughly 22% in its worst 12-month stretch.
View RiskOSPN's identity verification engine has to keep compounding to justify the price. Revenue grew 12% year over year in the latest quarter. The company beat its earnings estimate by 94.4%. It trades at 20x earnings versus a 46x peer median. The market is pricing in more growth than we forecast. Muted growth could prevent a re-rating of the stock. Peer multiples imply a price about 26% below where it trades. Our read remains intact, though this read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-11-04. OSPN is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 4 analysts currently covering OSPN (as of Nov 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
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Compare OSPN with peers and holdings, graph the same reported metric, keep your questions beside the evidence, and return when the facts change.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OSPN Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-11-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Systems Software — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put OSPN next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Increase total revenue to $248M-$252M in 2026
Revenue outlook exceeds the $248M-$252M target, supported by expanding DigipassONE rollout.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-11-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 10% on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Advances: Increase total revenue to $248M-$252M in 2026
Q3 results beat estimates and shares rose, supporting confidence in the 2026 revenue target.
Advances: Increase Adjusted EBITDA to $67M-$71M in 2026
Earnings and revenue beat estimates, supporting profitability and growth objectives.
Advances: Increase Adjusted EBITDA to $67M-$71M in 2026
EPS and revenue materially exceeded estimates, supporting profitability and growth objectives.
Threatens: Increase total revenue to $248M-$252M in 2026
Muted growth impacts revenue targets for 2026.
Threatens: Increase Adjusted EBITDA to $67M-$71M in 2026
Shrinking bottom line impacts Adjusted EBITDA growth objective.
Advances: Increase total revenue to $248M-$252M in 2026
Analyst upgrade reflects confidence in revenue growth potential.
Advances: Increase revenue to $244M-$249M in 2026
Q2 2026 results exceed expectations, boosting revenue outlook.
