NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryIndustrial DistributionSnapshot 2026-07-07
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Track POOL free→Warn: Management is running behind on a stated commitment.
Pool Corporation grows sales about 6% a year, as seen in Q1 FY2026. Profit per share is expected near $11 in 2026. The company plans to increase its share repurchase program to $600 million. New CEO John B. Watwood aims to lead growth.
Sales fell 1% in Q4 FY2025 and profit missed estimates then. CEO and director departures may hurt execution. The sector faces headwinds and the company’s quality is fragile.
The price is about 4% below our fair value near $218 and 7% below the Street median. Analysts expect about 4% revenue growth. Our view aligns with moderate growth but notes risks from leadership changes and sector pressure.
Breaks if: Share repurchase program expansion is canceled or reduced
Expand the share repurchase program by $329M to a total of $600M.
Standing thesis, reviewed periodically — not a price target or advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Breaks if: EPS guidance falls below $10.87 for FY26
Reaffirm the full-year 2026 earnings guidance of $10.87 to $11.17 per diluted share.
Breaks if: Operational performance declines significantly under new CEO
Appoint John B. Watwood as President and CEO to lead the next phase of growth.
Breaks if: YoY revenue growth falls below 3.6% next year
Reaffirm the full-year 2026 earnings guidance of $10.87 to $11.17 per diluted share.
