RSG
Republic ServicesNYSEIndustrialsWaste ManagementSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, RSG has a mixed analyst signal with a composite score of 5.2 and a medium confidence level of 65.7. The score is influenced by various factors, including a favorable scenario if next-quarter guidance is raised and unfavorable scenarios related to potential guidance cuts and sector trends weakening. The overall risk is categorized as moderate, with a quality score of 68.9 indicating relative strength. This analysis is provisional.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share1.00
- Slope (norm)0.01
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $1.84 → $1.83 (-0.4% / 30d). 6 raised, 5 cut, 22 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 3 maintained. 59% of analysts rate Buy.
1 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 24.2% above current price.
0 positive, 1 negative / 30d. See F4 management tile for the event list.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
7 material events in the last 24 months — top 5 listed below.
Stated priorities
Insufficient transcript history for this ticker.
Guidance track record
Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 22%; 252d 18%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −22%. Bad day move −2%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLI) — 0.03 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 70/100, drawdown 57/100, beta 3/100, earnings vol —.
via XLI
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- No material changes since the prior snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
No qualifying priorities for this snapshot. Check back after the next refresh.
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Richer than its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
71 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
RSG Republic Services | +5.2 | full | moderate |
CAT Caterpillar Inc. | +13 | expensive | moderate |
GE GE Aerospace | +11 | expensive | moderate |
GEV GE Vernova | +10 | full | moderate |
RTX RTX Corporation | +20 | fair | moderate |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If industrials sector trend rises from +0.05 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-05-07)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-05-07)-8.0 pts
- If industrials sector trend falls from +0.05 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
- If growth state reverses from +0.25 (positive) to -0.25 (negative)-4.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-05-071d agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 7, 2026, Republic Services, Inc. (the Company) issued a press release containing information about the Company’s financial results for the three months ended March 31, 2026. A copy of this press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference.
earnings preannouncementnegativescore 77 - 2026-05-071d agoItem 8.01
Other Events. On May 5, 2026, the Board of Directors of the Company declared a regular quarterly dividend of $0.625 per share for shareholders of record on July 2, 2026. The dividend will be paid on July 15, 2026.
capital allocationneutralscore 51 - 2026-02-172mo agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On February 17, 2026 , Republic Services, Inc. (the Company) issued a press release containing information about the Company’s financial results for the three months and year ended December 31, 2025. A copy of this press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference.
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 10 - 2026-02-172mo agoItem 7.01
Regulation FD Disclosure. Full-Year 2026 Financial Guidance Our guidance is based on current economic conditions. The Company expects full-year revenue to be in a range of $17,050 million to $17,150 million. Net income attributable to Republic Services, Inc. is expected to be in a range of $2,200 million to $2,220 million for 2026. Adjusted Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization (adjusted EBITDA) is expected to be in a range of $5,475 million to $5,525 million for the…
capital allocationneutralscore 8 - 2026-02-122mo agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On February 10, 2026, the Board of Directors (the “Board”) of Republic Services, Inc. (“Republic”) appointed Ian Craig, 53, to serve on the Board, effective immediately. Mr. Craig will initially be a member of the Board’s Audit Committee and Sustainability & Corporate Responsibility Committee. Mr. Craig will receive equity and cash compensation in…
executive changeneutralscore 8
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.